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National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

EYE Nasdaq Ophthalmic Goods DE CIK: 0001710155
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 15, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-04-04
Combined AI Grade
B
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
72% Conf
B
75% Conf

📊 EYE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $543.9M
Net Margin: 5.7%
Free Cash Flow: $44.1M
Current Ratio: 0.62x
Debt/Equity: 0.26x
EPS: $0.38
AI Grade: B with 72% confidence
National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) receives a B fundamental grade with 74% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $543.9M, net profit margin of 5.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.5%, National Vision Holdings, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete EYE stock analysis for 2026.

Is National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) a Good Investment?

Claude

National Vision demonstrates solid operational fundamentals with 9% revenue growth and exceptional 202.8% EPS growth, supported by positive free cash flow of $44.1M. However, severe liquidity constraints (current ratio 0.62x, quick ratio 0.37x) and weak return metrics (ROE 3.5%, ROA 1.5%) present material risks that offset the operational positives.

ChatGPT

National Vision shows improving fundamentals, with 9.0% revenue growth, sharply higher earnings, and positive free cash flow generation. However, the quality of that improvement is tempered by very thin margins, weak liquidity, and limited interest coverage, which leave little room for operational setbacks. The business appears to be stabilizing rather than demonstrating consistently strong financial strength.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. Key Strengths (EYE)

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of 9% YoY shows market demand and operational scale expansion in optical retail sector
  • + Operating cash flow of $61.7M exceeds capex, generating $44.1M in free cash flow with 8.1% FCF margin demonstrating cash generation ability
  • + EPS growth of 202.8% YoY indicates significant profitability improvement, though context on share count and one-time items needed
  • + Conservative leverage with debt/equity of 0.26x provides balance sheet flexibility
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth remains solid at 9.0% year over year, indicating continued demand and store-level momentum.
  • + Net income and diluted EPS rebounded sharply year over year, showing meaningful earnings recovery.
  • + Operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, supporting reinvestment capacity without excessive leverage.

EYE Stock Risks: National Vision Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity concern: current ratio of 0.62x and quick ratio of 0.37x indicate current liabilities exceed liquid assets by 38%, creating potential working capital and covenant risk
  • ! Weak return metrics with ROE of 3.5% and ROA of 1.5% suggest inefficient capital deployment and suboptimal asset utilization
  • ! Tight interest coverage of 1.8x leaves minimal buffer for debt service deterioration if operational performance declines
  • ! Low cash position of $67.9M relative to $2.0B asset base and $233.3M long-term debt creates refinancing and operational flexibility constraints
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability remains structurally thin, with only 3.0% operating margin and 1.5% net margin.
  • ! Liquidity is weak, with a 0.55x current ratio and 0.33x quick ratio, increasing near-term balance sheet pressure.
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.3x suggests limited cushion if borrowing costs rise or earnings soften.

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Working capital trends and current/quick ratio improvement to resolve near-term liquidity concerns
  • * Return on equity sustainability and trajectory given current 3.5% level
  • * Operating cash flow consistency and ability to fund debt service while maintaining capex
  • * Same-store sales growth and gross margin expansion to support profitability improvements
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net margin for evidence that earnings improvement is sustainable
  • * Current ratio, quick ratio, and interest coverage to monitor liquidity and financial flexibility

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$543.9M
Net Income
$31.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.38
Free Cash Flow
$44.1M
Total Assets
$2.0B
Cash Position
$67.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EYE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 8.3%
Net Margin 5.7%
ROE 3.5%
ROA 1.5%
FCF Margin 8.1%

EYE vs Market Sector: How National Vision Holdings, Inc. Compares

How National Vision Holdings, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
EYE 5.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EYE Sector
ROE
EYE 3.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EYE Sector
Current Ratio
EYE 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
EYE Sector
Debt/Equity
EYE 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
EYE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is National Vision Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? EYE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, National Vision Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
5.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.26x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: EYE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.62x
Quick Ratio
0.37x
Debt/Equity
0.26x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
1.77x
Long-term Debt
$233.3M

EYE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

EYE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $32.8M, EPS $0.40. Year 2022: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $36.3M, EPS $0.44. Year 2023: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $128.2M, EPS $1.43. Year 2024: Revenue $1.8B, Net Income $42.1M, EPS $0.52. Year 2025: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income -$65.9M, EPS $-0.84.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 4% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.84 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

EYE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
8.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EYE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for National Vision Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $510.3M $14.2M $0.18
Q3 2025 $451.5M $92.0K $0.00
Q2 2025 $451.7M -$3.1M $-0.04
Q1 2025 $482.8M $11.7M $0.15
Q3 2024 $438.8M $92.0K $0.00
Q2 2024 $431.8M -$3.1M $-0.04
Q1 2024 $520.8M $11.7M $0.15
Q3 2023 $499.2M $5.6M $0.15

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$61.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$17.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

EYE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for National Vision Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001710155)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781038533.xml View →
Jun 3, 2026 8-K eye-20260603.htm View →
May 14, 2026 10-Q eye-20260404.htm View →
May 13, 2026 8-K eye-20260513.htm View →
May 4, 2026 DEF 14A ny20063318x1_def14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EYE

What is the AI rating for EYE?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EYE's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of 9% YoY shows market demand and operational scale expansion in optical retail sector. Operating cash flow of $61.7M exceeds capex, generating $44.1M in free cash flow with 8.1% FCF margin demonstrating cash generation ability. ChatGPT: Revenue growth remains solid at 9.0% year over year, indicating continued demand and store-level momentum.. Net income and diluted EPS rebounded sharply year over year, showing meaningful earnings recovery..

What are the risks of investing in EYE?

Claude: Critical liquidity concern: current ratio of 0.62x and quick ratio of 0.37x indicate current liabilities exceed liquid assets by 38%, creating potential working capital and covenant risk. Weak return metrics with ROE of 3.5% and ROA of 1.5% suggest inefficient capital deployment and suboptimal asset utilization. ChatGPT: Profitability remains structurally thin, with only 3.0% operating margin and 1.5% net margin.. Liquidity is weak, with a 0.55x current ratio and 0.33x quick ratio, increasing near-term balance sheet pressure..

What is EYE's revenue and growth?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $543.9M.

Does EYE pay dividends?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find EYE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for National Vision Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001710155) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EYE's EPS?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.38.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is EYE's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, National Vision Holdings, Inc. has a B grade with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is EYE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EYE: ROE of 3.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 5.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is EYE's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives National Vision Holdings, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EYE's free cash flow?

National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $61.7M, with capital expenditures of $17.6M. FCF margin is 8.1%.

How does EYE compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 5.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 3.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.62 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 15, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-04-04 | Powered by Claude AI