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Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (EGY) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

EGY NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0000894627
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 EGY Key Takeaways

Revenue: $359.3M
Net Margin: -11.5%
Free Cash Flow: $209.7M
Current Ratio: 0.69x
Debt/Equity: 0.14x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (EGY) receives a SELL rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $359.3M, net profit margin of -11.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -9.3%, Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete EGY stock analysis for 2026.

Is Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (EGY) a Good Investment?

Claude

VAALCO Energy faces significant operational challenges with negative net income (-$41.4M), negative operating margin (-5.7%), and deteriorating revenue (-25% YoY), indicating fundamental business weakness in the current commodity environment. While the company maintains positive free cash flow ($209.7M) and manageable leverage (0.14x debt/equity), the negative profitability metrics, weak liquidity position (0.69x current ratio), and poor interest coverage (-142.1x) suggest structural profitability issues that outweigh the strong cash generation.

ChatGPT

VAALCO ENERGY shows a mixed fundamental profile: earnings and margins are weak, with revenue down 25% year over year and net losses persisting, but balance sheet leverage remains low and operating cash flow is still strong. The key question is growth quality and cash flow durability, because current free cash flow looks unusually strong relative to reported losses and very low capital spending. Fundamentally, the company appears financially viable but not operationally strong enough to justify a more bullish view until profitability and liquidity improve.

Why Buy Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Stock? EGY Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $209.7M despite operational losses, providing financial flexibility
  • + Conservative debt structure with only $60M long-term debt and 0.14x debt/equity ratio
  • + Strong free cash flow margin of 58.4% demonstrates capital-efficient operations when adjusted for losses
ChatGPT
  • + Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.14x and only $60.0M of long-term debt
  • + Strong operating cash flow of $212.67M despite reported net loss
  • + Substantial equity base of $443.50M provides balance sheet support

EGY Stock Risks: Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative profitability with -$11.5% net margin and -9.3% ROE indicating the core business is not generating shareholder returns
  • ! Severe liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.69x suggesting potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations
  • ! Sharp revenue decline of 25% year-over-year combined with negative interest coverage ratio of -142.1x indicates operational distress and inability to service debt from earnings
  • ! Zero insider purchases in last 90 days suggests management lacks confidence in near-term recovery
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue declined 25.0% year over year, indicating weak top-line momentum
  • ! Negative operating margin, net margin, ROE, and ROA show poor core profitability
  • ! Current ratio of 0.69x points to near-term liquidity pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Return to operating profitability and path to positive net income margins
  • * Revenue stabilization and return to growth trajectory
  • * Liquidity improvement with current ratio moving above 1.0x
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and working capital trends
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow conversion versus net income
  • * Revenue trend and operating margin recovery

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (EGY) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$359.3M
Net Income
$-41.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$209.7M
Total Assets
$913.4M
Cash Position
$58.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 58.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EGY Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -5.7%
Net Margin -11.5%
ROE -9.3%
ROA -4.5%
FCF Margin 58.4%

EGY vs Energy Sector: How Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Compares

How Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
EGY -11.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EGY Sector
ROE
EGY -9.3%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
EGY Sector
Current Ratio
EGY 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
EGY Sector
Debt/Equity
EGY 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
EGY Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Stock Overvalued? EGY Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-9.3%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-11.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Balance Sheet: EGY Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.69x
Quick Ratio
0.69x
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Debt/Assets
51.4%
Interest Coverage
-142.12x
Long-term Debt
$60.0M

EGY Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

EGY 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $199.1M, Net Income $2.6M, EPS $0.04. Year 2022: Revenue $354.3M, Net Income -$48.2M, EPS $-0.83. Year 2023: Revenue $455.1M, Net Income $81.8M, EPS $1.37. Year 2024: Revenue $479.0M, Net Income $51.9M, EPS $0.73. Year 2025: Revenue $479.0M, Net Income $60.4M, EPS $0.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/'s revenue has grown significantly by 141% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.56 reflects profitable operations.

EGY Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
58.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EGY Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $61.0M $1.1M $0.01
Q2 2025 $96.9M $7.7M $0.08
Q1 2025 $100.2M $7.7M $0.07
Q3 2024 $116.3M $3.5M $0.06
Q2 2024 $109.2M $3.5M $0.06
Q1 2024 $80.4M $3.5M $0.03
Q3 2023 $78.1M $3.5M $0.06
Q2 2023 $109.2M $3.5M $0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$212.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$709.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$26.5M
Returned to shareholders

EGY SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (CIK: 0000894627)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 10-K/A egy-20251231.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 10-K egy-20251231.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 8-K egy-20260312.htm View →
Feb 10, 2026 8-K egy-20260204.htm View →
Jan 15, 2026 8-K egy-20260115.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EGY

What is the AI rating for EGY?

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (EGY) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EGY's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $209.7M despite operational losses, providing financial flexibility. Conservative debt structure with only $60M long-term debt and 0.14x debt/equity ratio. ChatGPT: Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.14x and only $60.0M of long-term debt. Strong operating cash flow of $212.67M despite reported net loss.

What are the risks of investing in EGY?

Claude: Negative profitability with -$11.5% net margin and -9.3% ROE indicating the core business is not generating shareholder returns. Severe liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.69x suggesting potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations. ChatGPT: Revenue declined 25.0% year over year, indicating weak top-line momentum. Negative operating margin, net margin, ROE, and ROA show poor core profitability.

What is EGY's revenue and growth?

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ reported revenue of $359.3M.

Does EGY pay dividends?

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ pays dividends, with $26.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EGY SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ (CIK: 0000894627) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EGY's EPS?

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EGY a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ has a SELL rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EGY stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EGY: ROE of -9.3% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -11.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EGY stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/ a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EGY's free cash flow?

Vaalco Energy Inc. /DE/'s operating cash flow is $212.7M, with capital expenditures of $3.0M. FCF margin is 58.4%.

How does EGY compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -11.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -9.3% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.69 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI