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Ecopetrol S.a. (EC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

EC NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas F8 CIK: 0001444406
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-23
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
43% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
5% Conf
HOLD
81% Conf

📊 EC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: N/A
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: HOLD with 5% confidence
Ecopetrol S.a. (EC) receives a HOLD rating with 43% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. Below is our complete EC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ecopetrol S.a. (EC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Analysis cannot be completed due to insufficient financial data from SEC EDGAR. Only 1 metric is available, making fundamental assessment impossible. A meaningful evaluation requires income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow data.

ChatGPT

Ecopetrol remains fundamentally profitable and cash generative, with a 39% EBITDA margin in 2025, positive free cash flow, stable production, and a 121% reserves replacement ratio. However, revenue, EBITDA, net income, and operating cash flow all declined materially year over year in 2025, showing that earnings quality is still heavily exposed to weaker hydrocarbon prices, tax pressure, and non-operating risks. The balance sheet is still manageable, but leverage and regulatory uncertainty limit the case for a more bullish fundamental view.

Why Buy Ecopetrol S.a. Stock? EC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Company operates in established energy sector
  • + Listed on NYSE with regulatory reporting requirements
  • + Major crude petroleum and natural gas producer
ChatGPT
  • + High underlying profitability with COP 46.7 trillion EBITDA and 39% EBITDA margin in 2025
  • + Stable production and reserve support, including 121% reserve replacement and 7.8 years reserve life
  • + Positive free cash flow and manageable leverage, with gross debt/EBITDA of 2.3x and debt/equity of 1.0x

EC Stock Risks: Ecopetrol S.a. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical data unavailability prevents financial health assessment
  • ! Unable to evaluate profitability, leverage, or liquidity position
  • ! No recent insider activity or operational metrics to assess management confidence
  • ! Data quality severely compromised with only 1 of expected 30+ metrics available
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability weakened sharply in 2025, with revenue down 10.2% and net income down 39.5% year over year
  • ! Operating cash flow fell materially, reducing free cash flow cushion and dividend flexibility
  • ! Tax and customs disputes with DIAN could create a material liquidity and financial-position risk if resolved adversely

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue and net income trends
  • * Operating cash flow and capital efficiency
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and interest coverage
  • * Return on equity and asset base growth
  • * Free cash flow generation and allocation
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow conversion
  • * Net debt/EBITDA and reserves replacement ratio

Ecopetrol S.a. (EC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
N/A
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Total Assets
N/A
Cash Position
N/A

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE N/A
ROA N/A
FCF Margin N/A

EC vs Energy Sector: How Ecopetrol S.a. Compares

How Ecopetrol S.a. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
EC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EC Sector
ROE
EC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
EC Sector
Current Ratio
EC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
EC Sector
Debt/Equity
EC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
EC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ecopetrol S.a. Stock Overvalued? EC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ecopetrol S.a. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ecopetrol S.a. Balance Sheet: EC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

EC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

EC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ecopetrol S.a. (CIK: 0001444406)

Frequently Asked Questions about EC

What is the AI rating for EC?

Ecopetrol S.a. (EC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 43% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EC's key strengths?

Claude: Company operates in established energy sector. Listed on NYSE with regulatory reporting requirements. ChatGPT: High underlying profitability with COP 46.7 trillion EBITDA and 39% EBITDA margin in 2025. Stable production and reserve support, including 121% reserve replacement and 7.8 years reserve life.

What are the risks of investing in EC?

Claude: Critical data unavailability prevents financial health assessment. Unable to evaluate profitability, leverage, or liquidity position. ChatGPT: Profitability weakened sharply in 2025, with revenue down 10.2% and net income down 39.5% year over year. Operating cash flow fell materially, reducing free cash flow cushion and dividend flexibility.

What is EC's revenue and growth?

Ecopetrol S.a. reported revenue of N/A.

Does EC pay dividends?

Ecopetrol S.a. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find EC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ecopetrol S.a. (CIK: 0001444406) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EC's EPS?

Ecopetrol S.a. has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Ecopetrol S.a. has a HOLD rating with 43% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EC: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ecopetrol S.a. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EC's free cash flow?

Ecopetrol S.a.'s operating cash flow is N/A, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does EC compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-23 | Powered by Claude AI