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Dollar Tree, Inc.. (DLTR) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

DLTR Nasdaq Retail-Variety Stores VA CIK: 0000935703
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 30, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-02
Combined AI Grade
C
66% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
55% Conf
B
78% Conf

📊 DLTR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $5.0B
Net Margin: 7.0%
Free Cash Flow: $1.5B
Current Ratio: 1.16x
Debt/Equity: 0.84x
EPS: $1.76
AI Grade: C with 55% confidence
Dollar Tree, Inc.. (DLTR) receives a C fundamental grade with 66% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $5.0B, net profit margin of 7.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 9.9%, Dollar Tree, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete DLTR stock analysis for 2026.

Is Dollar Tree, Inc.. (DLTR) a Good Investment?

Claude

Dollar Tree demonstrates strong cash generation with $1.5B free cash flow, but faces fundamental challenges including flat revenue growth (0.1% YoY), subpar returns on equity (9.9%) and assets (2.5%), and evidence of data quality issues suggesting deeper reporting concerns. The company operates as a mature cash cow with minimal growth trajectory, poorly positioned for the current retail environment.

ChatGPT

Dollar Tree shows solid underlying profitability with healthy gross margins, positive free cash flow, and manageable leverage. However, revenue growth is essentially flat and the sharp jump in net income likely reflects an easy comparison or non-recurring prior-year pressure rather than broad-based acceleration. Fundamentally, the business looks stable but not strong enough to support a more aggressive rating without clearer evidence of sustained sales and cash flow improvement.

Dollar Tree, Inc.. Key Strengths (DLTR)

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $1.5B with 30.9% FCF margin
  • + Strong operating cash flow of $1.8B demonstrates operational soundness
  • + Moderate leverage at 0.84x Debt/Equity ratio with manageable debt service
ChatGPT
  • + Solid gross and operating margins for a value retailer
  • + Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow generation
  • + Manageable leverage with debt/equity at 0.65x and strong reported ROE

DLTR Stock Risks: Dollar Tree, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue essentially flat at 0.1% YoY growth indicates stagnation or decline
  • ! Data quality red flag: 141.7% gross margin is mathematically impossible, undermining financial statement reliability
  • ! Weak returns with ROE of 9.9% and ROA of 2.5% suggest inefficient asset utilization and below-benchmark profitability
  • ! Sector headwinds from e-commerce competition in discount retail segment
  • ! Current ratio of 1.16x provides minimal liquidity cushion
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is nearly flat, limiting operating leverage upside
  • ! Liquidity is only modest with a current ratio near 1.0 and relatively low cash balance
  • ! Free cash flow margin is thin, leaving less room for execution mistakes or higher capital needs

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate trajectory and comparable store sales
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation priorities
  • * Operating margin trends and gross profit verification for data accuracy
ChatGPT
  • * Comparable sales and revenue growth acceleration
  • * Free cash flow margin and operating cash flow consistency

Dollar Tree, Inc.. (DLTR) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$5.0B
Net Income
$347.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.76
Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
Total Assets
$13.8B
Cash Position
$1.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 30.9% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

DLTR Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 141.7%
Operating Margin 9.5%
Net Margin 7.0%
ROE 9.9%
ROA 2.5%
FCF Margin 30.9%

DLTR vs Consumer Sector: How Dollar Tree, Inc.. Compares

How Dollar Tree, Inc.. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
DLTR 7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
DLTR Sector
ROE
DLTR 9.9%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
DLTR Sector
Current Ratio
DLTR 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
DLTR Sector
Debt/Equity
DLTR 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
DLTR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Dollar Tree, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? DLTR Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Dollar Tree, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.9%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
7.0%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.84x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Dollar Tree, Inc.. Balance Sheet: DLTR Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.16x
Quick Ratio
1.16x
Debt/Equity
0.84x
Debt/Assets
74.6%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$2.9B

DLTR Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

DLTR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $26.3B, Net Income $827.0M, EPS $3.47. Year 2022: Revenue $28.3B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $5.65. Year 2023: Revenue $30.6B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $5.80. Year 2024: Revenue $17.6B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $7.21. Year 2025: Revenue $19.4B, Net Income -$998.4M, EPS $-4.54.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Dollar Tree, Inc..'s revenue has declined by 26% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-4.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

DLTR Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
30.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

DLTR Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Dollar Tree, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $4.6B $343.4M $1.61
Q3 2025 $4.3B $233.3M $1.08
Q2 2025 $4.1B $132.4M $0.62
Q1 2025 $4.2B $300.1M $1.38
Q3 2024 $7.3B $212.0M $0.97
Q2 2024 $7.3B $132.4M $0.62
Q1 2024 $7.3B $299.0M $1.35
Q3 2023 $6.9B $212.0M $0.97

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Dollar Tree, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.8B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$585.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$252.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

DLTR SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Dollar Tree, Inc.. (CIK: 0000935703)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 28, 2026 10-Q dltr-20260502.htm View →
May 28, 2026 8-K dltr-20260528.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K dltr-20260507.htm View →
May 1, 2026 DEF 14A tm261374-1_def14a.htm View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about DLTR

What is the AI rating for DLTR?

Dollar Tree, Inc.. (DLTR) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 66% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are DLTR's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $1.5B with 30.9% FCF margin. Strong operating cash flow of $1.8B demonstrates operational soundness. ChatGPT: Solid gross and operating margins for a value retailer. Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow generation.

What are the risks of investing in DLTR?

Claude: Revenue essentially flat at 0.1% YoY growth indicates stagnation or decline. Data quality red flag: 141.7% gross margin is mathematically impossible, undermining financial statement reliability. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is nearly flat, limiting operating leverage upside. Liquidity is only modest with a current ratio near 1.0 and relatively low cash balance.

What is DLTR's revenue and growth?

Dollar Tree, Inc.. reported revenue of $5.0B.

Does DLTR pay dividends?

Dollar Tree, Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find DLTR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Dollar Tree, Inc.. (CIK: 0000935703) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is DLTR's EPS?

Dollar Tree, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $1.76.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is DLTR's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Dollar Tree, Inc.. has a C grade with 66% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is DLTR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for DLTR: ROE of 9.9% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 7.0% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is DLTR's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Dollar Tree, Inc.. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is DLTR's free cash flow?

Dollar Tree, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $1.8B, with capital expenditures of $252.5M. FCF margin is 30.9%.

How does DLTR compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 7.0% (avg: 8%), ROE 9.9% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.16 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 30, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-02 | Powered by Claude AI