← Back to All US Stocks

Deere & Co (DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

DE NYSE Farm Machinery & Equipment DE CIK: 0000315189
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-02-01
Combined AI Rating
SELL
69% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
63% Conf

📊 DE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $9.6B
Net Margin: 6.8%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.1B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.23x
EPS: $2.42
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
Deere & Co (DE) receives a SELL rating with 69% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $9.6B, net profit margin of 6.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.5%, Deere & Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete DE stock analysis for 2026.

Is Deere & Co (DE) a Good Investment?

Claude

Deere & Co faces significant operational challenges despite maintaining high operating margins, as evidenced by negative operating cash flow of -$890M and negative free cash flow of -$1.1B. Revenue declined 11.7% year-over-year while net income growth of 0.6% masks underlying operational stress, suggesting the company is consuming cash despite reported profitability. The concerning cash position and high leverage (1.23x Debt/Equity) combined with deteriorating cash generation indicate potential difficulty sustaining current capital structure and shareholder returns.

ChatGPT

Deere still shows meaningful gross profitability, solid interest coverage, and a balance sheet supported by substantial equity and cash, which suggests the business remains financially resilient through a weaker part of the cycle. However, the sharp revenue decline, negative operating and free cash flow, and unusually inconsistent margin data reduce confidence in earnings quality and near-term fundamental momentum. On balance, the company appears fundamentally durable but not cleanly strong enough for a more aggressive rating based on the current dataset.

Why Buy Deere & Co Stock? DE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 94.0% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in core business
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 12.6x indicates adequate ability to service debt obligations
  • + Substantial asset base of $103.4B with $6.8B in cash provides operational cushion
ChatGPT
  • + Gross margin of 22.8% indicates the core equipment business remains meaningfully profitable despite lower sales
  • + Interest coverage of 12.6x suggests debt service is manageable even with a sizable debt load
  • + Cash of $6.80B and equity of $26.30B provide balance-sheet support during an industry downturn

DE Stock Risks: Deere & Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$890M and negative free cash flow of -$1.1B indicate business is destroying cash despite reported profitability
  • ! Revenue declining 11.7% YoY suggests weakening demand in farm machinery sector with limited near-term recovery visibility
  • ! High leverage at 1.23x Debt/Equity with $32.4B long-term debt limits financial flexibility if operational performance continues deteriorating
  • ! Extremely low ROE of 2.5% and ROA of 0.6% indicate poor capital efficiency and wealth destruction for shareholders
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue fell 11.7% year over year, pointing to cyclical demand pressure and weaker operating momentum
  • ! Operating cash flow of -$890.00M and free cash flow of -$1.15B indicate weak cash conversion in the latest period
  • ! Reported operating income and margin appear inconsistent with gross profit, raising concerns about data quality and the reliability of some profitability signals

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating Cash Flow - critical reversal needed to positive territory to validate profitability claims
  • * Revenue Trend - must stabilize and return to growth to justify current cost structure
  • * Free Cash Flow Generation - essential metric for debt service sustainability and capital allocation capacity
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow normalization
  • * Revenue trend and gross margin stability

Deere & Co (DE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$9.6B
Net Income
$656.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.42
Free Cash Flow
$-1.1B
Total Assets
$103.4B
Cash Position
$6.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

DE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 22.8%
Operating Margin 94.0%
Net Margin 6.8%
ROE 2.5%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin -11.9%

DE vs Industrial Sector: How Deere & Co Compares

How Deere & Co compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
DE 6.8%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
DE Sector
ROE
DE 2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
DE Sector
Current Ratio
DE 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
DE Sector
Debt/Equity
DE 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
DE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Deere & Co Stock Overvalued? DE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Deere & Co shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
6.8%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.23x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Deere & Co Balance Sheet: DE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.23x
Debt/Assets
74.5%
Interest Coverage
12.57x
Long-term Debt
$32.4B

DE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

DE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $44.0B, Net Income $3.3B, EPS $10.15. Year 2022: Revenue $52.6B, Net Income $2.8B, EPS $8.69. Year 2023: Revenue $61.3B, Net Income $6.0B, EPS $18.99. Year 2024: Revenue $61.3B, Net Income $7.1B, EPS $23.28. Year 2025: Revenue $61.3B, Net Income $10.2B, EPS $34.63.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Deere & Co's revenue has grown significantly by 39% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $34.63 reflects profitable operations.

DE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-11.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

DE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Deere & Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $8.5B $656.0M $2.42
Q3 2025 $12.0B $1.3B $4.75
Q2 2025 $12.8B $1.8B $6.64
Q1 2025 $8.5B $869.0M $3.19
Q3 2024 $13.2B $1.7B $6.29
Q2 2024 $15.2B $2.4B $8.53
Q1 2024 $12.2B $1.8B $6.23
Q3 2023 $14.1B $1.9B $6.16

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Deere & Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$890.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$302.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$256.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$441.0M
Returned to shareholders

DE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Deere & Co (CIK: 0000315189)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 8-K de-20260312x8k.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03052026_090318.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03052026_090306.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03052026_090322.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03052026_080310.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about DE

What is the AI rating for DE?

Deere & Co (DE) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 69% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are DE's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 94.0% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in core business. Strong interest coverage ratio of 12.6x indicates adequate ability to service debt obligations. ChatGPT: Gross margin of 22.8% indicates the core equipment business remains meaningfully profitable despite lower sales. Interest coverage of 12.6x suggests debt service is manageable even with a sizable debt load.

What are the risks of investing in DE?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$890M and negative free cash flow of -$1.1B indicate business is destroying cash despite reported profitability. Revenue declining 11.7% YoY suggests weakening demand in farm machinery sector with limited near-term recovery visibility. ChatGPT: Revenue fell 11.7% year over year, pointing to cyclical demand pressure and weaker operating momentum. Operating cash flow of -$890.00M and free cash flow of -$1.15B indicate weak cash conversion in the latest period.

What is DE's revenue and growth?

Deere & Co reported revenue of $9.6B.

Does DE pay dividends?

Deere & Co pays dividends, with $441.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find DE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Deere & Co (CIK: 0000315189) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is DE's EPS?

Deere & Co has a diluted EPS of $2.42.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is DE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Deere & Co has a SELL rating with 69% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is DE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for DE: ROE of 2.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 6.8% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy DE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Deere & Co a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is DE's free cash flow?

Deere & Co's operating cash flow is $-890.0M, with capital expenditures of $256.0M. FCF margin is -11.9%.

How does DE compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 6.8% (avg: 10%), ROE 2.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Sector: All Industrial Stocks →
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-02-01 | Powered by Claude AI