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Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CTOS NYSE Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC DE CIK: 0001709682
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • TBD ET • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
SELL
75% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 CTOS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.9B
Net Margin: -1.6%
Free Cash Flow: $310.1M
Current Ratio: 1.33x
Debt/Equity: 2.03x
EPS: $-0.14
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) receives a SELL rating with 75% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.9B, net profit margin of -1.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of -3.8%, Custom Truck One Source, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete CTOS stock analysis for 2026.

Is Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) a Good Investment?

Claude

Custom Truck One Source demonstrates strong revenue growth (+34.4% YoY) and impressive operating cash flow generation ($310.1M), but is severely hampered by net losses (-$31.1M), negative profitability margins (-1.6% net margin), and deteriorating returns on equity (-3.8%). The high leverage ratio (2.03x debt/equity) combined with weak liquidity metrics and inability to convert operating success into net profitability presents substantial operational and financial risks.

ChatGPT

Custom Truck One Source shows strong top-line momentum and solid operating cash generation, suggesting demand and asset utilization remain healthy. However, weak net profitability, high leverage, thin interest coverage, and very low cash on hand materially limit financial flexibility. The fundamentals support a cautious stance: the business is improving operationally, but balance-sheet risk and earnings quality still need to improve.

Why Buy Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Stock? CTOS Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 34.4% YoY demonstrating market demand and business expansion
  • + Substantial operating cash flow of $310.1M with healthy 16.0% FCF margin indicating asset-intensive model generates cash
  • + Moderate interest coverage ratio of 2.8x suggesting ability to service debt obligations currently
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth of 34.4% YoY indicates strong demand and business expansion
  • + Operating cash flow of $310.11M and 16.0% FCF margin show solid cash generation
  • + Positive operating income and 6.4% operating margin suggest the core business is profitable before financing costs

CTOS Stock Risks: Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Significant net losses of -$31.1M with negative net margin of -1.6% indicating operational profitability challenges despite gross margin of 21.2%
  • ! High leverage with 2.03x debt/equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $6.3M cash equivalents creating refinancing and liquidity risks
  • ! Deteriorating return metrics with ROE of -3.8% and ROA of -0.9% showing poor capital efficiency and value destruction for shareholders
  • ! Weak quick ratio of 0.26x indicating potential working capital strain beyond operating cash flow reliance
ChatGPT
  • ! Net loss and negative ROE/ROA show that growth is not yet translating into bottom-line profitability
  • ! High leverage with 2.03x debt-to-equity and only 2.8x interest coverage increases refinancing and earnings risk
  • ! Low cash balance and 0.26x quick ratio point to limited near-term liquidity cushion

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and path to profitability - critical to determine if losses are temporary or structural
  • * Operating leverage improvement - whether gross margin expansion and operating income growth can offset SG&A and financing costs
  • * Cash conversion and free cash flow sustainability - ensure strong operating cash flow can continue funding debt service and capital needs
ChatGPT
  • * Net margin improvement alongside interest expense coverage
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability relative to debt reduction and capital spending needs

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.9B
Net Income
$-31.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.14
Free Cash Flow
$310.1M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$6.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CTOS Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 21.2%
Operating Margin 6.4%
Net Margin -1.6%
ROE -3.8%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin 16.0%

CTOS vs Industrial Sector: How Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Compares

How Custom Truck One Source, Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
CTOS -1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CTOS Sector
ROE
CTOS -3.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CTOS Sector
Current Ratio
CTOS 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CTOS Sector
Debt/Equity
CTOS 2.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CTOS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CTOS Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Custom Truck One Source, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-3.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-1.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.03x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Balance Sheet: CTOS Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.33x
Quick Ratio
0.26x
Debt/Equity
2.03x
Debt/Assets
0.4%
Interest Coverage
2.78x
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

CTOS Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CTOS 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $788.5M, Net Income -$11.0M, EPS $-0.82. Year 2022: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$21.3M, EPS $-0.43. Year 2023: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income -$181.5M, EPS $-0.75. Year 2024: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $38.9M, EPS $0.16. Year 2025: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $50.7M, EPS $0.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 83% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.21 reflects profitable operations.

CTOS Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CTOS Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $337.5M -$5.8M $-0.03
Q2 2025 $320.6M -$14.3M $-0.10
Q1 2025 $303.5M -$14.3M $-0.06
Q3 2024 $305.0M $9.2M $0.04
Q2 2024 $315.7M $11.6M $0.05
Q1 2024 $303.5M $13.8M $0.06
Q3 2023 $242.3M -$2.4M $-0.01
Q2 2023 $245.0M -$3.3M $0.04

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$310.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$32.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CTOS SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CIK: 0001709682)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CTOS

What is the AI rating for CTOS?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 75% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CTOS's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 34.4% YoY demonstrating market demand and business expansion. Substantial operating cash flow of $310.1M with healthy 16.0% FCF margin indicating asset-intensive model generates cash. ChatGPT: Revenue growth of 34.4% YoY indicates strong demand and business expansion. Operating cash flow of $310.11M and 16.0% FCF margin show solid cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in CTOS?

Claude: Significant net losses of -$31.1M with negative net margin of -1.6% indicating operational profitability challenges despite gross margin of 21.2%. High leverage with 2.03x debt/equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $6.3M cash equivalents creating refinancing and liquidity risks. ChatGPT: Net loss and negative ROE/ROA show that growth is not yet translating into bottom-line profitability. High leverage with 2.03x debt-to-equity and only 2.8x interest coverage increases refinancing and earnings risk.

What is CTOS's revenue and growth?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. reported revenue of $1.9B.

Does CTOS pay dividends?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CTOS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CIK: 0001709682) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CTOS's EPS?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CTOS a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Custom Truck One Source, Inc. has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CTOS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CTOS: ROE of -3.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -1.6% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CTOS stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Custom Truck One Source, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CTOS's free cash flow?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $310.1M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 16.0%.

How does CTOS compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin -1.6% (avg: 10%), ROE -3.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.33 (avg: 1.8).

Is Custom Truck One Source, Inc. carrying too much debt?

CTOS has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03x, which is above the Industrial sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.33 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI