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Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CON NYSE Services-Specialty Outpatient Facilities, NEC DE CIK: 0002014596
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
73% Confidence
AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
HOLD
74% Conf

📊 CON Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.2B
Net Margin: 7.7%
Free Cash Flow: $197.1M
Current Ratio: 1.14x
Debt/Equity: 3.98x
EPS: $1.30
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) receives a BUY rating with 73% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.2B, net profit margin of 7.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 42.3%, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete CON stock analysis for 2026.

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) a Good Investment?

Claude

Concentra demonstrates solid operational performance with strong revenue growth of 13.9% YoY and healthy free cash flow generation of $197.1M, supported by a respectable 7.7% net margin. However, the company carries significant financial leverage at 3.98x debt-to-equity, which constrains financial flexibility despite adequate liquidity metrics. The declining diluted EPS (-11.0% YoY) despite net income growth suggests equity dilution pressures that warrant monitoring.

ChatGPT

Concentra shows solid fundamental operating performance, with revenue up 13.9%, operating margin of 15.4%, and healthy free cash flow generation equal to 9.1% of revenue. However, profit conversion is less impressive than top-line growth suggests, with net income up only 1.4% and diluted EPS down 11.0%, while a highly leveraged balance sheet limits financial flexibility.

Why Buy Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Stock? CON Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.9% YoY demonstrating market demand and expansion
  • + Solid free cash flow generation of $197.1M with 9.1% FCF margin indicating operational efficiency
  • + Exceptional ROE of 42.3% showing effective capital deployment despite leverage
  • + Healthy operating margin of 15.4% reflecting operational discipline
ChatGPT
  • + Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability
  • + Healthy cash generation with $279.40M in operating cash flow and $197.06M in free cash flow
  • + ROA of 5.8% and double-digit operating margin indicate an economically viable core business

CON Stock Risks: Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage at 3.98x debt-to-equity ratio limiting strategic flexibility and increasing refinancing risk
  • ! Declining diluted EPS of -11.0% YoY despite net income growth signals equity dilution and shareholder value pressure
  • ! Tight current ratio of 1.14x provides minimal liquidity cushion for operational disruptions
  • ! Deteriorating profitability per share despite absolute profitability gains
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage, with $1.56B of long-term debt and debt-to-equity of 3.98x
  • ! Thin balance sheet cushion, with only $393.28M of equity against $2.44B of liabilities
  • ! Earnings quality concern as EPS fell 11.0% despite revenue growth and slightly higher net income

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth sustainability and organic vs. inorganic growth breakdown
  • * Debt reduction progress and debt-to-equity trajectory
  • * Diluted EPS trend reversal to align with net income growth
  • * Free cash flow conversion ratio and capital allocation priorities
  • * Working capital efficiency and current ratio improvement
ChatGPT
  • * Debt reduction and interest burden relative to operating income
  • * Diluted EPS growth versus revenue growth

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.2B
Net Income
$166.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.30
Free Cash Flow
$197.1M
Total Assets
$2.9B
Cash Position
$79.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CON Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 15.4%
Net Margin 7.7%
ROE 42.3%
ROA 5.8%
FCF Margin 9.1%

CON vs Services Sector: How Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Compares

How Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
CON 7.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CON Sector
ROE
CON 42.3%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
CON Sector
Current Ratio
CON 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
CON Sector
Debt/Equity
CON 4.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CON Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CON Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
42.3%
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
7.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.98x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Balance Sheet: CON Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.14x
Quick Ratio
1.14x
Debt/Equity
3.98x
Debt/Assets
85.3%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

CON Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CON 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $166.7M, EPS $1.60. Year 2025: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $179.9M, EPS $1.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 14% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.73 reflects profitable operations.

CON Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
9.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CON Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $489.6M $38.9M $0.37
Q2 2025 $477.9M $38.9M $0.35
Q1 2025 $467.6M $38.9M $0.30
Q3 2024 $474.0M $44.3M $0.37
Q2 2024 $467.1M $46.3M $0.50

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$279.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$22.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$82.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$32.1M
Returned to shareholders

CON SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CIK: 0002014596)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 14, 2026 8-K tm2611711d1_8k.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 DEF 14A tm261601-1_def14a.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 10-K cghp-20251231.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K cghp-20260225.htm View →
Jan 28, 2026 8-K cghp-20260128.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CON

What is the AI rating for CON?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 73% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CON's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 13.9% YoY demonstrating market demand and expansion. Solid free cash flow generation of $197.1M with 9.1% FCF margin indicating operational efficiency. ChatGPT: Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability. Healthy cash generation with $279.40M in operating cash flow and $197.06M in free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in CON?

Claude: High financial leverage at 3.98x debt-to-equity ratio limiting strategic flexibility and increasing refinancing risk. Declining diluted EPS of -11.0% YoY despite net income growth signals equity dilution and shareholder value pressure. ChatGPT: High leverage, with $1.56B of long-term debt and debt-to-equity of 3.98x. Thin balance sheet cushion, with only $393.28M of equity against $2.44B of liabilities.

What is CON's revenue and growth?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. reported revenue of $2.2B.

Does CON pay dividends?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. pays dividends, with $32.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CON SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CIK: 0002014596) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CON's EPS?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.30.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CON a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has a BUY rating with 73% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is CON stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CON: ROE of 42.3% (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 7.7% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CON stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CON's free cash flow?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $279.4M, with capital expenditures of $82.3M. FCF margin is 9.1%.

How does CON compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 7.7% (avg: 10%), ROE 42.3% (avg: 16%), current ratio 1.14 (avg: 1.5).

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. carrying too much debt?

CON has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.98x, which is above the Services sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.14 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

Why is CON's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has a return on equity of 42.3%, significantly above the Services sector average of 16%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 7.7% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI