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Cummins Inc. (CMI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CMI NYSE Engines & Turbines IN CIK: 0000026172
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
BUY
76% Conf

📊 CMI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $33.7B
Net Margin: 8.4%
Free Cash Flow: $2.4B
Current Ratio: 1.76x
Debt/Equity: 0.61x
EPS: $20.50
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Cummins Inc. (CMI) receives a BUY rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $33.7B, net profit margin of 8.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 23.0%, Cummins Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete CMI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Cummins Inc. (CMI) a Good Investment?

Claude

Cummins demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability metrics (23% ROE, 8.4% net margin) and robust cash generation ($2.4B FCF), supporting its position in the engines and turbines sector. However, revenue contraction (-1.3% YoY) and significant EPS decline (-27.7% YoY) indicate headwinds that warrant monitoring, though the company maintains healthy liquidity and manageable leverage ratios.

ChatGPT

Cummins shows strong core fundamentals, with solid margins, high returns on equity and assets, and healthy free cash flow generation despite a modest year-over-year decline in revenue and net income. The balance sheet remains sound, with good liquidity, manageable leverage, and strong interest coverage, which supports resilience through industrial cycles. Growth quality is mixed near term, but the company still appears fundamentally strong enough to merit a positive view.

Why Buy Cummins Inc. Stock? CMI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong return on equity (23%) and return on assets (8.4%) indicating efficient capital deployment
  • + Solid free cash flow generation ($2.4B) covering capex 2x over with 7.1% FCF margin
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio and 12.2x interest coverage ratio
  • + Healthy liquidity position with 1.76x current ratio and $2.8B cash on hand
ChatGPT
  • + Solid profitability with 25.3% gross margin, 12.0% operating margin, and 8.4% net margin
  • + Healthy financial position supported by 1.76x current ratio, 0.61x debt/equity, and 12.2x interest coverage
  • + Consistent cash generation with $3.62B operating cash flow and $2.39B free cash flow

CMI Stock Risks: Cummins Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining year-over-year (-1.3%) suggesting softening market demand or competitive pressures
  • ! Diluted EPS contracted sharply (-27.7% YoY) despite positive net income, indicating share dilution or tax headwinds
  • ! Operating margin compression risk in cyclical engines industry during economic slowdowns
  • ! High insider activity (28 Form 4 filings) warrants monitoring for potential confidence signals or equity compensation dilution
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue and net income are both declining year over year, indicating softer near-term demand or margin pressure
  • ! Diluted EPS fell much faster than net income, which may point to dilution or non-operating headwinds
  • ! Industrial and engine markets are cyclical, which can pressure earnings quality during downturns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trend reversal - critical to confirm stabilization or growth resumption
  • * Operating margin sustainability - monitor for further compression below 12%
  • * Free cash flow conversion ratio - ensure FCF remains above $2.2B annually
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory - watch for leverage increase above 0.70x threshold
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow generation and EPS trend

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$33.7B
Net Income
$2.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$20.50
Free Cash Flow
$2.4B
Total Assets
$34.0B
Cash Position
$2.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Cummins Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CMI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 25.3%
Operating Margin 12.0%
Net Margin 8.4%
ROE 23.0%
ROA 8.4%
FCF Margin 7.1%

CMI vs Market Sector: How Cummins Inc. Compares

How Cummins Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
CMI 8.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CMI Sector
ROE
CMI 23.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CMI Sector
Current Ratio
CMI 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CMI Sector
Debt/Equity
CMI 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CMI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Cummins Inc. Stock Overvalued? CMI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Cummins Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
23.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
8.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Cummins Inc. Balance Sheet: CMI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.76x
Quick Ratio
1.16x
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Debt/Assets
60.6%
Interest Coverage
12.23x
Long-term Debt
$7.6B

CMI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CMI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $24.0B, Net Income $2.3B, EPS $14.48. Year 2022: Revenue $28.1B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $12.01. Year 2023: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $2.2B, EPS $14.61. Year 2024: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $2.2B, EPS $15.12. Year 2025: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $840.0M, EPS $5.15.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Cummins Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 42% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.15 reflects profitable operations.

CMI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CMI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Cummins Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $8.3B $559.0M $3.86
Q2 2025 $8.6B $752.0M $5.26
Q1 2025 $8.2B $850.0M $5.96
Q3 2024 $8.4B $690.0M $4.59
Q2 2024 $8.6B $737.0M $5.05
Q1 2024 $8.4B $806.0M $5.55
Q3 2023 $7.3B $409.0M $2.82
Q2 2023 $6.6B $707.0M $4.94

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Cummins Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$3.6B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.2B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.1B
Returned to shareholders

CMI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Cummins Inc. (CIK: 0000026172)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A tm261336-2_def14a.htm View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CMI

What is the AI rating for CMI?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CMI's key strengths?

Claude: Strong return on equity (23%) and return on assets (8.4%) indicating efficient capital deployment. Solid free cash flow generation ($2.4B) covering capex 2x over with 7.1% FCF margin. ChatGPT: Solid profitability with 25.3% gross margin, 12.0% operating margin, and 8.4% net margin. Healthy financial position supported by 1.76x current ratio, 0.61x debt/equity, and 12.2x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in CMI?

Claude: Revenue declining year-over-year (-1.3%) suggesting softening market demand or competitive pressures. Diluted EPS contracted sharply (-27.7% YoY) despite positive net income, indicating share dilution or tax headwinds. ChatGPT: Revenue and net income are both declining year over year, indicating softer near-term demand or margin pressure. Diluted EPS fell much faster than net income, which may point to dilution or non-operating headwinds.

What is CMI's revenue and growth?

Cummins Inc. reported revenue of $33.7B.

Does CMI pay dividends?

Cummins Inc. pays dividends, with $1,055.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CMI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Cummins Inc. (CIK: 0000026172) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CMI's EPS?

Cummins Inc. has a diluted EPS of $20.50.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CMI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Cummins Inc. has a BUY rating with 74% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is CMI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CMI: ROE of 23.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 8.4% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CMI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Cummins Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CMI's free cash flow?

Cummins Inc.'s operating cash flow is $3.6B, with capital expenditures of $1.2B. FCF margin is 7.1%.

How does CMI compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 8.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 23.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.76 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI