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Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CLF) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CLF NYSE Metal Mining OH CIK: 0000764065
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 20, 2026 (in 4 days) • Pre-market ET • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
STRONG SELL
92% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
STRONG SELL
91% Conf

📊 CLF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $18.6B
Net Margin: -7.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.0B
Current Ratio: 1.95x
Debt/Equity: 1.19x
EPS: $-2.91
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CLF) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $18.6B, net profit margin of -7.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of -24.2%, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete CLF stock analysis for 2026.

Is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CLF) a Good Investment?

Claude

Cleveland-Cliffs faces severe operational distress with negative net income of $1.5B, negative operating cash flow of $462M, and deteriorating profitability across all margins despite stable revenue. The company is burning cash with negative free cash flow of $1.0B while carrying substantial debt of $7.3B against minimal cash reserves of $57M, creating acute financial stress. Negative interest coverage and weakening fundamentals indicate the company is struggling to service debt and fund operations without further financial deterioration.

ChatGPT

Cleveland-Cliffs' fundamentals are currently very weak, with razor-thin gross margin, deeply negative operating and net margins, and large losses flowing through to negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The balance sheet still has meaningful equity and an adequate current ratio, but very low cash, high leverage, and negative interest coverage materially weaken financial flexibility and make the growth profile poor-quality until profitability and cash generation recover.

Why Buy Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Stock? CLF Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Adequate current ratio of 1.95x provides near-term liquidity buffer for operations
  • + Stable revenue base of $18.6B demonstrates market presence in metal mining sector
  • + Gross profit of $575.7M shows some underlying operational contribution before overhead
ChatGPT
  • + Scale remains substantial with $18.61B of revenue
  • + Current ratio of 1.95x suggests near-term working-capital coverage is not immediately distressed
  • + The company still retains a sizable equity base of $6.12B

CLF Stock Risks: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Massive operating loss of $1.6B and net loss of $1.5B signal fundamental operational breakdown
  • ! Negative free cash flow of $1.0B with only $57M cash on hand creates critical solvency risk
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity of 1.19x and negative interest coverage of -11.2x indicates inability to service debt from operations
  • ! Negative ROE of -24.2% and ROA of -7.4% demonstrate value destruction for shareholders
  • ! Operating cash flow negative at -$462M while still requiring $561M in capital expenditures
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating performance is severely impaired, with -8.5% operating margin and -7.9% net margin
  • ! Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow of -$1.02B
  • ! High leverage and negative interest coverage indicate elevated balance-sheet and refinancing risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow recovery and path to positive FCF generation
  • * Operating margin improvement and return to profitability
  • * Debt reduction trajectory and interest coverage return to positive territory
  • * Cash balance sustainability given burn rate and debt service obligations
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow trend
  • * Gross margin and interest coverage improvement

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CLF) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$18.6B
Net Income
$-1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.91
Free Cash Flow
$-1.0B
Total Assets
$20.0B
Cash Position
$57.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CLF Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 3.1%
Operating Margin -8.5%
Net Margin -7.9%
ROE -24.2%
ROA -7.4%
FCF Margin -5.5%

CLF vs Materials Sector: How Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Compares

How Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
CLF -7.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CLF Sector
ROE
CLF -24.2%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
CLF Sector
Current Ratio
CLF 1.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
CLF Sector
Debt/Equity
CLF 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CLF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Stock Overvalued? CLF Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-24.2%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-7.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.19x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Balance Sheet: CLF Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.95x
Quick Ratio
0.50x
Debt/Equity
1.19x
Debt/Assets
68.4%
Interest Coverage
-11.18x
Long-term Debt
$7.3B

CLF Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CLF 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $20.4B, Net Income $293.0M, EPS $1.03. Year 2022: Revenue $23.0B, Net Income -$122.0M, EPS $-0.32. Year 2023: Revenue $23.0B, Net Income $3.0B, EPS $5.36. Year 2024: Revenue $23.0B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $2.55. Year 2025: Revenue $22.0B, Net Income $385.0M, EPS $0.75.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc..'s revenue has shown modest growth of 8% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $0.75 reflects profitable operations.

CLF Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-5.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CLF Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $4.6B -$244.0M $-0.51
Q2 2025 $4.9B N/A N/A
Q1 2025 $4.6B N/A N/A
Q3 2024 $4.6B -$242.0M $0.52
Q2 2024 $5.1B $2.0M $0.00
Q1 2024 $5.2B -$57.0M $-0.11
Q3 2023 $5.6B $152.0M $0.29
Q2 2023 $6.0B $290.0M $0.56

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$462.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$561.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$41.0M
Returned to shareholders

CLF SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CIK: 0000764065)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775164894.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775164886.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775164881.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A clf-20260402.htm View →
Feb 23, 2026 8-K clf-20260222.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CLF

What is the AI rating for CLF?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CLF) has a Combined AI Rating of STRONG SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (STRONG SELL) with 92% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CLF's key strengths?

Claude: Adequate current ratio of 1.95x provides near-term liquidity buffer for operations. Stable revenue base of $18.6B demonstrates market presence in metal mining sector. ChatGPT: Scale remains substantial with $18.61B of revenue. Current ratio of 1.95x suggests near-term working-capital coverage is not immediately distressed.

What are the risks of investing in CLF?

Claude: Massive operating loss of $1.6B and net loss of $1.5B signal fundamental operational breakdown. Negative free cash flow of $1.0B with only $57M cash on hand creates critical solvency risk. ChatGPT: Operating performance is severely impaired, with -8.5% operating margin and -7.9% net margin. Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow of -$1.02B.

What is CLF's revenue and growth?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. reported revenue of $18.6B.

Does CLF pay dividends?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. pays dividends, with $41.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CLF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. (CIK: 0000764065) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CLF's EPS?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-2.91.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CLF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CLF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CLF: ROE of -24.2% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -7.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CLF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CLF's free cash flow?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc..'s operating cash flow is $-462.0M, with capital expenditures of $561.0M. FCF margin is -5.5%.

How does CLF compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -7.9% (avg: 10%), ROE -24.2% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.95 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI