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Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CECO Nasdaq Industrial & Commercial Fans & Blowers & Air Purifing Equip DE CIK: 0000003197
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
69% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 CECO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $774.4M
Net Margin: 6.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-5.5M
Current Ratio: 1.34x
Debt/Equity: 0.67x
EPS: $1.37
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) receives a HOLD rating with 69% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $774.4M, net profit margin of 6.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 15.8%, Ceco Environmental Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete CECO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) a Good Investment?

Claude

CECO demonstrates strong revenue growth (38.8% YoY) and solid profitability metrics with 13.7% operating margins, but cash flow generation is critically weak with negative free cash flow of -5.5M despite operating cash flow of only 5.9M. The company's leverage is moderate (0.67x debt/equity) with adequate interest coverage, but the disconnect between accounting profits and actual cash generation raises concerns about earnings quality and sustainability.

ChatGPT

CECO Environmental shows strong top-line momentum and solid operating profitability, with revenue up 38.8% and operating margin at 13.7%, indicating healthy demand and reasonable execution. However, growth quality is mixed because net income declined year over year, operating cash flow was very weak relative to earnings, and free cash flow was negative, which tempers the otherwise solid profitability profile. The balance sheet is acceptable but not especially strong given moderate leverage, limited cash, and only middling interest coverage.

Why Buy Ceco Environmental Corp. Stock? CECO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong top-line growth of 38.8% YoY demonstrates market demand and successful expansion
  • + Healthy operating margin of 13.7% and gross margin of 34.8% indicate pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Solid return metrics with ROE of 15.8% and ROA of 5.6% show efficient capital deployment
  • + Conservative leverage ratio of 0.67x debt/equity provides financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is strong at 38.8% year over year, showing meaningful business expansion
  • + Profitability is solid with 34.8% gross margin, 13.7% operating margin, and 15.8% ROE
  • + Liquidity is adequate with a 1.34x current ratio and 1.16x quick ratio, reducing near-term balance sheet pressure

CECO Stock Risks: Ceco Environmental Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severely negative free cash flow of -5.5M is alarming despite 5.9M operating cash flow, indicating cash burn and potential working capital management issues
  • ! Diluted EPS grew 280.6% while net income actually declined 5.8%, suggesting aggressive share buybacks masking underlying earnings pressure
  • ! Large capital expenditure (11.3M) relative to weak operating cash flow (5.9M) creates sustainability concerns if growth capital intensity persists
  • ! Minimal cash balance of 33.1M relative to 212.4M long-term debt limits financial cushion for operational challenges
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating cash flow of $5.86M is very low relative to $50.05M net income, indicating weak cash conversion
  • ! Free cash flow is negative after capital spending, which raises questions about the quality and sustainability of earnings growth
  • ! Leverage is moderate with $212.44M long-term debt, 0.67x debt-to-equity, and only 5.1x interest coverage

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend - critical to monitor if negative FCF is temporary due to capex or structural working capital problem
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability - 5.9M is dangerously low relative to 50.1M net income; need to track cash conversion quality
  • * Capital expenditure as % of revenue - evaluate whether ongoing 11.3M+ capex is necessary for growth sustainability
  • * Working capital management - investigate accounts receivable and inventory trends driving the OCF/net income divergence
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow conversion versus net income
  • * Interest coverage and net debt trends as growth continues

Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$774.4M
Net Income
$50.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.37
Free Cash Flow
$-5.5M
Total Assets
$893.8M
Cash Position
$33.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Ceco Environmental Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CECO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 34.8%
Operating Margin 13.7%
Net Margin 6.5%
ROE 15.8%
ROA 5.6%
FCF Margin -0.7%

CECO vs Industrial Sector: How Ceco Environmental Corp. Compares

How Ceco Environmental Corp. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
CECO 6.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CECO Sector
ROE
CECO 15.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CECO Sector
Current Ratio
CECO 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CECO Sector
Debt/Equity
CECO 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CECO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ceco Environmental Corp. Stock Overvalued? CECO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ceco Environmental Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
15.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
6.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ceco Environmental Corp. Balance Sheet: CECO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.34x
Quick Ratio
1.16x
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Debt/Assets
63.8%
Interest Coverage
5.06x
Long-term Debt
$212.4M

CECO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CECO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $341.9M, Net Income $17.7M, EPS $-0.50. Year 2022: Revenue $422.6M, Net Income $8.2M, EPS $0.23. Year 2023: Revenue $544.8M, Net Income $1.4M, EPS $0.04. Year 2024: Revenue $557.9M, Net Income $17.4M, EPS $0.50. Year 2025: Revenue $774.4M, Net Income $12.9M, EPS $0.37.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ceco Environmental Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 127% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.37 reflects profitable operations.

CECO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-0.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CECO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Ceco Environmental Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $135.5M $1.5M $0.04
Q2 2025 $137.5M $4.5M $0.12
Q1 2025 $126.3M $1.5M $0.04
Q3 2024 $135.5M $2.1M $0.06
Q2 2024 $129.2M $3.7M $0.11
Q1 2024 $112.6M $1.5M $0.04
Q3 2023 $108.4M $1.9M $0.06
Q2 2023 $105.4M $3.7M $0.11

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Ceco Environmental Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$5.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$11.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$44.0K
Returned to shareholders

CECO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ceco Environmental Corp. (CIK: 0000003197)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 8-K ceco-20260330.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CECO

What is the AI rating for CECO?

Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 69% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CECO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong top-line growth of 38.8% YoY demonstrates market demand and successful expansion. Healthy operating margin of 13.7% and gross margin of 34.8% indicate pricing power and operational efficiency. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is strong at 38.8% year over year, showing meaningful business expansion. Profitability is solid with 34.8% gross margin, 13.7% operating margin, and 15.8% ROE.

What are the risks of investing in CECO?

Claude: Severely negative free cash flow of -5.5M is alarming despite 5.9M operating cash flow, indicating cash burn and potential working capital management issues. Diluted EPS grew 280.6% while net income actually declined 5.8%, suggesting aggressive share buybacks masking underlying earnings pressure. ChatGPT: Operating cash flow of $5.86M is very low relative to $50.05M net income, indicating weak cash conversion. Free cash flow is negative after capital spending, which raises questions about the quality and sustainability of earnings growth.

What is CECO's revenue and growth?

Ceco Environmental Corp. reported revenue of $774.4M.

Does CECO pay dividends?

Ceco Environmental Corp. pays dividends, with $0.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CECO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ceco Environmental Corp. (CIK: 0000003197) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CECO's EPS?

Ceco Environmental Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.37.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CECO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Ceco Environmental Corp. has a HOLD rating with 69% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CECO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CECO: ROE of 15.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 6.5% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CECO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ceco Environmental Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CECO's free cash flow?

Ceco Environmental Corp.'s operating cash flow is $5.9M, with capital expenditures of $11.3M. FCF margin is -0.7%.

How does CECO compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 6.5% (avg: 10%), ROE 15.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.34 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI