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Carnival Corp. (CCL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CCL NYSE Water Transportation R1 CIK: 0000815097
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-30
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
78% Conf

📊 CCL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $26.6B
Net Margin: 10.4%
Free Cash Flow: $2.6B
Current Ratio: 0.32x
Debt/Equity: 2.23x
EPS: $2.02
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Carnival Corp. (CCL) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $26.6B, net profit margin of 10.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 22.5%, Carnival Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete CCL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Carnival Corp. (CCL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Carnival demonstrates strong operational recovery with 44.1% YoY net income growth and healthy 16.8% operating margins, supported by 6.4% revenue expansion. However, severe balance sheet deterioration—including a 2.23x debt-to-equity ratio, dangerous 0.32x current ratio, and $27.4B long-term debt against only $1.9B cash—creates significant financial risk despite adequate interest coverage of 9.5x.

ChatGPT

Carnival’s fundamentals show a strong post-recovery earnings profile, with revenue growth of 6.4% translating into 44.1% net income growth, solid 16.8% operating margins, and healthy free cash flow generation. However, the balance sheet still carries significant leverage, with long-term debt of $27.38B, debt-to-equity of 2.23x, and weak near-term liquidity, which limits fundamental upside despite the improving profitability trend.

Why Buy Carnival Corp. Stock? CCL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong profitability recovery: net income +44.1% YoY, net margin of 10.4%
  • + Solid operating performance: 16.8% operating margin with 6.4% revenue growth to $26.6B
  • + Robust free cash flow generation: $2.6B FCF with 9.8% FCF margin and adequate operating cash flow of $6.2B
  • + Healthy interest coverage ratio of 9.5x demonstrates ability to service debt obligations
ChatGPT
  • + Strong earnings growth with net income up 44.1% and diluted EPS up 40.3% year over year
  • + Robust cash generation, including $6.22B in operating cash flow and $2.61B in free cash flow
  • + Improving profitability profile, with 16.8% operating margin, 10.4% net margin, and 9.5x interest coverage

CCL Stock Risks: Carnival Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically weak liquidity position: 0.32x current ratio and 0.28x quick ratio indicate severe short-term solvency stress
  • ! Excessive leverage: 2.23x debt-to-equity ratio with $27.4B long-term debt creates significant refinancing and economic downturn risk
  • ! Capital-intensive business model: $3.6B annual capex reduces financial flexibility and limits debt paydown capability
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure: cruise/travel demand vulnerable to economic recession, fuel prices, and operational disruptions
ChatGPT
  • ! Very weak liquidity, with a 0.32x current ratio and 0.28x quick ratio
  • ! High financial leverage, including $27.38B of long-term debt and 2.23x debt-to-equity
  • ! Growth quality depends on sustaining margin gains, since revenue growth is moderate relative to earnings growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Debt reduction trajectory and debt-to-equity ratio trending toward <2.0x
  • * Quarterly operating cash flow and free cash flow sustainability
  • * Current ratio improvement and cash position strengthening above $2B
  • * Operating margin maintenance above 15% amid potential demand softening
  • * Debt refinancing schedule and interest rate environment impact on debt service costs
ChatGPT
  • * Debt reduction and debt-to-equity trend
  • * Current ratio and free cash flow sustainability

Carnival Corp. (CCL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$26.6B
Net Income
$2.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$2.02
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
Total Assets
$51.7B
Cash Position
$1.9B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

CCL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.8%
Net Margin 10.4%
ROE 22.5%
ROA 5.3%
FCF Margin 9.8%

CCL vs Transportation Sector: How Carnival Corp. Compares

How Carnival Corp. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
CCL 10.4%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CCL Sector
ROE
CCL 22.5%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
CCL Sector
Current Ratio
CCL 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
CCL Sector
Debt/Equity
CCL 2.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
CCL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Carnival Corp. Stock Overvalued? CCL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Carnival Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
22.5%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
10.4%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.23x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Carnival Corp. Balance Sheet: CCL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.32x
Quick Ratio
0.28x
Debt/Equity
2.23x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
9.52x
Long-term Debt
$27.4B

CCL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CCL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $20.8B, Net Income $3.0B, EPS $4.32. Year 2022: Revenue $12.2B, Net Income -$10.2B, EPS $-13.20. Year 2023: Revenue $21.6B, Net Income -$9.5B, EPS $-8.46. Year 2024: Revenue $25.0B, Net Income -$6.1B, EPS $-5.16. Year 2025: Revenue $26.6B, Net Income -$74.0M, EPS $-0.06.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Carnival Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.06 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CCL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
9.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CCL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Carnival Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $5.8B -$78.0M $-0.06
Q3 2025 $7.9B $1.6B $1.21
Q2 2025 $5.8B $92.0M $0.07
Q1 2025 $5.4B -$78.0M $-0.06
Q3 2024 $6.9B -$26.0M $-0.02
Q2 2024 $4.9B $92.0M $0.07
Q1 2024 $4.4B -$214.0M $-0.17
Q3 2023 $4.3B -$26.0M $-0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Carnival Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$6.2B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$3.6B
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CCL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Carnival Corp. (CIK: 0000815097)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 10-Q ccl-20260228.htm View →
Mar 27, 2026 8-K ccl-20260327.htm View →
Feb 27, 2026 DEF 14A tm2529359-1_def14a.htm View →
Feb 20, 2026 8-K eh260740928_8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CCL

What is the AI rating for CCL?

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CCL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong profitability recovery: net income +44.1% YoY, net margin of 10.4%. Solid operating performance: 16.8% operating margin with 6.4% revenue growth to $26.6B. ChatGPT: Strong earnings growth with net income up 44.1% and diluted EPS up 40.3% year over year. Robust cash generation, including $6.22B in operating cash flow and $2.61B in free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in CCL?

Claude: Critically weak liquidity position: 0.32x current ratio and 0.28x quick ratio indicate severe short-term solvency stress. Excessive leverage: 2.23x debt-to-equity ratio with $27.4B long-term debt creates significant refinancing and economic downturn risk. ChatGPT: Very weak liquidity, with a 0.32x current ratio and 0.28x quick ratio. High financial leverage, including $27.38B of long-term debt and 2.23x debt-to-equity.

What is CCL's revenue and growth?

Carnival Corp. reported revenue of $26.6B.

Does CCL pay dividends?

Carnival Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CCL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Carnival Corp. (CIK: 0000815097) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CCL's EPS?

Carnival Corp. has a diluted EPS of $2.02.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CCL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Carnival Corp. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CCL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CCL: ROE of 22.5% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 10.4% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CCL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Carnival Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CCL's free cash flow?

Carnival Corp.'s operating cash flow is $6.2B, with capital expenditures of $3.6B. FCF margin is 9.8%.

How does CCL compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 10.4% (avg: 10%), ROE 22.5% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.32 (avg: 1).

Is Carnival Corp. carrying too much debt?

CCL has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.23x, which is above the Transportation sector average of 1x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI