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Cato Corp. (CATO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CATO NYSE Retail-Women's Clothing Stores DE CIK: 0000018255
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-01
Combined AI Rating
SELL
74% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
72% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 CATO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $502.2M
Net Margin: 1.0%
Free Cash Flow: $353.0K
Current Ratio: 1.38x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.25
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Cato Corp. (CATO) receives a SELL rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $502.2M, net profit margin of 1.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.0%, Cato Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete CATO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Cato Corp. (CATO) a Good Investment?

Claude

Cato Corp exhibits severely constrained profitability with a net margin of just 1.0% and operating margin near breakeven at 0.2%, indicating fundamental operational challenges in the women's retail clothing sector. While revenue growth is modest at 1.2% YoY and the company maintains a manageable debt-free capital structure, poor return metrics (ROE of 3.0%, ROA of 1.1%) and deteriorating cash generation (free cash flow margin of 0.1%) suggest structural headwinds that are not being overcome through operational efficiency or scale.

ChatGPT

Cato shows modest top-line and net income growth while maintaining a debt-free balance sheet and positive free cash flow, which supports basic financial stability. However, profitability is extremely thin, with gross, operating, and net margins leaving little cushion against merchandising pressure, labor inflation, or sales volatility. The fundamentals suggest a stable but low-quality earnings profile rather than a strong compounding business.

Why Buy Cato Corp. Stock? CATO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Debt-free balance sheet with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00x providing financial flexibility
  • + Positive operating cash flow of 3.2M and adequate liquidity with current ratio of 1.38x
  • + Diluted EPS growth of 17.1% YoY showing per-share improvement despite modest net income growth
ChatGPT
  • + Debt-free capital structure reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility
  • + Revenue and net income remained positive year over year, indicating some operating resilience
  • + Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, even if minimal, support ongoing operations without heavy external financing

CATO Stock Risks: Cato Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically low profitability margins (9.6% gross, 0.2% operating, 1.0% net) indicate severe operational or competitive pressures
  • ! Minimal free cash flow generation (FCF margin of 0.1%) severely constrains reinvestment and shareholder returns capacity
  • ! Poor asset utilization (ROA of 1.1%) and equity returns (ROE of 3.0%) well below cost of capital benchmarks across retail sector
  • ! Revenue growth of only 1.2% YoY suggests stagnation in a challenging women's retail apparel market segment
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.76x indicates potential near-term liquidity stress despite adequate current ratio
ChatGPT
  • ! Very weak margins make earnings highly vulnerable to small cost increases or promotional pressure
  • ! Low ROE and ROA indicate inefficient capital and asset utilization
  • ! Free cash flow generation is extremely limited, reducing reinvestment capacity and downside protection

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trend - any further compression would signal worsening merchandising or pricing power
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability - current 3.2M is fragile given minimal profitability
  • * Free cash flow and capital expenditure requirements - ability to fund maintenance capex of 2.9M with only 3.2M operating cash flow
  • * Same-store sales and comparable store growth rates - critical indicator of competitive positioning
  • * Inventory turnover and working capital efficiency - optimization opportunity given asset-intensive retail model
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and gross margin trend
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow consistency

Cato Corp. (CATO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$502.2M
Net Income
$5.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.25
Free Cash Flow
$353.0K
Total Assets
$450.2M
Cash Position
$22.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.1% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

CATO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 9.6%
Operating Margin 0.2%
Net Margin 1.0%
ROE 3.0%
ROA 1.1%
FCF Margin 0.1%

CATO vs Consumer Sector: How Cato Corp. Compares

How Cato Corp. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
CATO 1.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
CATO Sector
ROE
CATO 3.0%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
CATO Sector
Current Ratio
CATO 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
CATO Sector
Debt/Equity
CATO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
CATO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Cato Corp. Stock Overvalued? CATO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Cato Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.0%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
1.0%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Cato Corp. Balance Sheet: CATO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.38x
Quick Ratio
0.76x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
13.69x
Long-term Debt
N/A

CATO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CATO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $816.2M, Net Income $35.9M, EPS $1.46. Year 2022: Revenue $761.4M, Net Income -$47.5M, EPS $-2.01. Year 2023: Revenue $761.4M, Net Income $36.8M, EPS $1.65. Year 2024: Revenue $752.4M, Net Income $29.0K, EPS $0.00. Year 2025: Revenue $700.3M, Net Income -$23.9M, EPS $-1.17.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Cato Corp.'s revenue has declined by 14% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.17 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CATO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CATO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Cato Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $144.6M $95.0K $-0.24
Q2 2025 $166.9M $95.0K $0.01
Q1 2025 $168.4M $3.3M $0.17
Q3 2024 $144.6M $95.0K $-0.02
Q2 2024 $166.9M $95.0K $0.01
Q1 2024 $175.3M $4.4M $0.22
Q3 2023 $156.7M -$523.0K $-0.02
Q2 2023 $181.2M $1.1M $0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Cato Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$3.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$995.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CATO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Cato Corp. (CIK: 0000018255)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 DEF 14A cato4585991-def14a.htm View →
Mar 25, 2026 10-K cato-20260131.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K cato-20260319.htm View →
Nov 25, 2025 10-Q cato25qtr3q.htm View →
Nov 24, 2025 8-K cato-20251120.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CATO

What is the AI rating for CATO?

Cato Corp. (CATO) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CATO's key strengths?

Claude: Debt-free balance sheet with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00x providing financial flexibility. Positive operating cash flow of 3.2M and adequate liquidity with current ratio of 1.38x. ChatGPT: Debt-free capital structure reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility. Revenue and net income remained positive year over year, indicating some operating resilience.

What are the risks of investing in CATO?

Claude: Critically low profitability margins (9.6% gross, 0.2% operating, 1.0% net) indicate severe operational or competitive pressures. Minimal free cash flow generation (FCF margin of 0.1%) severely constrains reinvestment and shareholder returns capacity. ChatGPT: Very weak margins make earnings highly vulnerable to small cost increases or promotional pressure. Low ROE and ROA indicate inefficient capital and asset utilization.

What is CATO's revenue and growth?

Cato Corp. reported revenue of $502.2M.

Does CATO pay dividends?

Cato Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CATO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Cato Corp. (CIK: 0000018255) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CATO's EPS?

Cato Corp. has a diluted EPS of $0.25.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CATO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Cato Corp. has a SELL rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CATO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CATO: ROE of 3.0% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 1.0% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CATO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Cato Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CATO's free cash flow?

Cato Corp.'s operating cash flow is $3.2M, with capital expenditures of $2.9M. FCF margin is 0.1%.

How does CATO compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 1.0% (avg: 8%), ROE 3.0% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.38 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-01 | Powered by Claude AI