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Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

BURL NYSE Retail-Department Stores DE CIK: 0001579298
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
68% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
73% Conf

📊 BURL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $11.6B
Net Margin: 5.3%
Free Cash Flow: $171.6M
Current Ratio: 1.23x
Debt/Equity: 1.12x
EPS: $9.51
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) receives a HOLD rating with 68% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $11.6B, net profit margin of 5.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 33.8%, Burlington Stores, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete BURL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Burlington demonstrates solid operational profitability with strong ROE (33.8%) and excellent interest coverage (28.7x), but faces significant headwinds from stagnant revenue growth (0.1% YoY) and weak free cash flow generation (1.5% FCF margin). The company's heavy debt load (1.12x D/E) combined with minimal top-line expansion raises concerns about capital allocation efficiency and long-term sustainability.

ChatGPT

Burlington Stores shows solid core profitability, strong returns on equity, and very strong interest coverage, which points to a fundamentally healthy operating model with manageable leverage. However, revenue and net income are essentially flat year over year, and free cash flow conversion is thin after heavy capital spending, so the business currently looks more financially resilient than meaningfully accelerating.

Why Buy Burlington Stores, Inc. Stock? BURL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional return on equity of 33.8% indicates efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Fortress balance sheet metrics with 28.7x interest coverage ratio demonstrates strong debt servicing capacity
  • + Solid operating margins of 7.1% with disciplined cost management
  • + Strong operating cash flow generation at $1.2B supporting capital investments
ChatGPT
  • + Strong operating profitability with 7.1% operating margin and 5.3% net margin
  • + Healthy balance sheet support from $1.23B cash, 1.23x current ratio, and 28.7x interest coverage
  • + High ROE of 33.8% indicates efficient capital generation

BURL Stock Risks: Burlington Stores, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue growth stalled at 0.1% YoY indicating significant retail headwinds and competitive pressures
  • ! Weak free cash flow margin of 1.5% despite $1.2B operating cash flow raises concerns about capital intensity and returns on $1.1B capex
  • ! Elevated leverage at 1.12x debt-to-equity limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.65x suggests potential near-term liquidity constraints despite adequate current ratio
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term operating momentum
  • ! Free cash flow is modest at 1.5% margin due to elevated capital expenditures
  • ! EPS growth appears much stronger than net income growth, which may indicate weaker underlying earnings growth quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth acceleration - critical to validate turnaround narrative
  • * Free cash flow improvement - monitor capex returns and working capital efficiency
  • * Debt reduction trajectory - watch for deleveraging progress given leverage constraints
  • * Comparable store sales growth - leading indicator of operational momentum
ChatGPT
  • * Comparable sales and total revenue growth
  • * Free cash flow generation relative to capital expenditures

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$11.6B
Net Income
$610.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$9.51
Free Cash Flow
$171.6M
Total Assets
$9.9B
Cash Position
$1.2B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.5% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

BURL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 8.4%
Operating Margin 7.1%
Net Margin 5.3%
ROE 33.8%
ROA 6.2%
FCF Margin 1.5%

BURL vs Consumer Sector: How Burlington Stores, Inc. Compares

How Burlington Stores, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
BURL 5.3%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BURL Sector
ROE
BURL 33.8%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BURL Sector
Current Ratio
BURL 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BURL Sector
Debt/Equity
BURL 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
BURL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Burlington Stores, Inc. Stock Overvalued? BURL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Burlington Stores, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
33.8%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
5.3%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.12x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Balance Sheet: BURL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.23x
Quick Ratio
0.65x
Debt/Equity
1.12x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
28.74x
Long-term Debt
$2.0B

BURL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BURL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $9.3B, Net Income $465.1M, EPS $6.91. Year 2022: Revenue $9.3B, Net Income -$216.5M, EPS $-3.28. Year 2023: Revenue $9.7B, Net Income $408.8M, EPS $6.00. Year 2024: Revenue $10.6B, Net Income $230.1M, EPS $3.49. Year 2025: Revenue $11.5B, Net Income $339.6M, EPS $5.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Burlington Stores, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 24% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.23 reflects profitable operations.

BURL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BURL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Burlington Stores, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.5B $73.8M $1.40
Q2 2025 $2.5B $73.8M $1.15
Q1 2025 $2.4B $78.5M $1.22
Q3 2024 $2.3B $30.9M $0.75
Q2 2024 $2.2B $30.9M $0.47
Q1 2024 $2.1B $32.7M $0.50
Q3 2023 $2.0B $12.0M $0.26
Q2 2023 $2.0B $12.0M $0.18

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.2B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$278.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.1B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$336.0M
Returned to shareholders

BURL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Burlington Stores, Inc. (CIK: 0001579298)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A burl-20260402.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BURL

What is the AI rating for BURL?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BURL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional return on equity of 33.8% indicates efficient use of shareholder capital. Fortress balance sheet metrics with 28.7x interest coverage ratio demonstrates strong debt servicing capacity. ChatGPT: Strong operating profitability with 7.1% operating margin and 5.3% net margin. Healthy balance sheet support from $1.23B cash, 1.23x current ratio, and 28.7x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in BURL?

Claude: Revenue growth stalled at 0.1% YoY indicating significant retail headwinds and competitive pressures. Weak free cash flow margin of 1.5% despite $1.2B operating cash flow raises concerns about capital intensity and returns on $1.1B capex. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term operating momentum. Free cash flow is modest at 1.5% margin due to elevated capital expenditures.

What is BURL's revenue and growth?

Burlington Stores, Inc. reported revenue of $11.6B.

Does BURL pay dividends?

Burlington Stores, Inc. pays dividends, with $336.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BURL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Burlington Stores, Inc. (CIK: 0001579298) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BURL's EPS?

Burlington Stores, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $9.51.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is BURL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is BURL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BURL: ROE of 33.8% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 5.3% (sector avg: 8%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy BURL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Burlington Stores, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BURL's free cash flow?

Burlington Stores, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $1.2B, with capital expenditures of $1.1B. FCF margin is 1.5%.

How does BURL compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 5.3% (avg: 8%), ROE 33.8% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.23 (avg: 1.5).

Why is BURL's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Burlington Stores, Inc. has a return on equity of 33.8%, significantly above the Consumer sector average of 18%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 5.3% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31 | Powered by Claude AI