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Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

BLMN Nasdaq Retail-Eating Places DE CIK: 0001546417
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-28
Combined AI Rating
SELL
79% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
SELL
83% Conf

📊 BLMN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.0B
Net Margin: 0.2%
Free Cash Flow: $96.8M
Current Ratio: 0.31x
Debt/Equity: 2.36x
EPS: $0.10
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) receives a SELL rating with 79% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $4.0B, net profit margin of 0.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.5%, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete BLMN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Bloomin' Brands demonstrates severely deteriorated profitability with net income declining 37.7% YoY despite flat revenue growth, indicating margin compression and operational challenges in a competitive restaurant environment. Critical liquidity concerns are evident with a current ratio of 0.31x and quick ratio of 0.24x, combined with high leverage (2.36x debt-to-equity), leaving limited financial flexibility. While operating cash flow remains positive at $276.7M, the company's razor-thin net margin of 0.2% and minimal returns (ROE 2.5%, ROA 0.3%) suggest fundamental operational weakness rather than temporary headwinds.

ChatGPT

Bloomin' Brands shows weak underlying fundamentals: revenue is essentially flat, net income declined sharply year over year, and both operating and net margins are extremely thin. While the business still generates positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, liquidity is tight and leverage is elevated, leaving limited room for operational missteps or a consumer slowdown.

Why Buy Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Stock? BLMN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $276.7M provides debt servicing capability
  • + Free cash flow of $96.8M demonstrates ability to generate cash despite profitability challenges
  • + Revenue stability with only 0.1% decline YoY suggests brand resilience and customer retention
ChatGPT
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $276.69M supports ongoing operations
  • + Free cash flow remained positive at $96.77M despite meaningful capital spending
  • + Revenue was stable year over year, indicating the business has not materially contracted

BLMN Stock Risks: Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.31x indicating inability to cover short-term obligations
  • ! High financial leverage at 2.36x debt-to-equity with $787.4M long-term debt constraining strategic flexibility
  • ! Dramatic profitability deterioration with net income down 37.7% YoY while maintaining flat revenue indicates margin compression and cost pressures
  • ! Microscopic profitability margins (0.2% net margin, 0.9% operating margin) leave no room for error or adverse conditions
  • ! Weak return on equity (2.5%) and assets (0.3%) suggest inefficient capital deployment and value destruction
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability is very weak, with just 0.9% operating margin and 0.2% net margin
  • ! Balance sheet risk is elevated due to high debt-to-equity of 2.36x and low cash of $59.46M
  • ! Liquidity is stretched, with a 0.31x current ratio and 0.24x quick ratio

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - critical indicator of whether cost pressures are reversible
  • * Current and quick ratios - must improve to avoid liquidity distress
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory - any increase signals deteriorating solvency
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - watch for capex changes that could indicate financial stress
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin recovery and net income trend
  • * Free cash flow generation relative to debt and liquidity levels

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$4.0B
Net Income
$8.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.10
Free Cash Flow
$96.8M
Total Assets
$3.2B
Cash Position
$59.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

BLMN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.9%
Net Margin 0.2%
ROE 2.5%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 2.4%

BLMN vs Consumer Sector: How Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Compares

How Bloomin' Brands, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
BLMN 0.2%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BLMN Sector
ROE
BLMN 2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BLMN Sector
Current Ratio
BLMN 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BLMN Sector
Debt/Equity
BLMN 2.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
BLMN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Stock Overvalued? BLMN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.5%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
0.2%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.36x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Balance Sheet: BLMN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.31x
Quick Ratio
0.24x
Debt/Equity
2.36x
Debt/Assets
89.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$787.4M

BLMN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BLMN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.1B, Net Income $130.6M, EPS $1.45. Year 2022: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income -$158.7M, EPS $-1.85. Year 2023: Revenue $4.7B, Net Income $215.6M, EPS $2.00. Year 2024: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $101.9M, EPS $1.03. Year 2025: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $247.4M, EPS $2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 1% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $2.56 reflects profitable operations.

BLMN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BLMN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $910.0M $6.9M $0.08
Q2 2025 $999.4M $25.4M $0.30
Q1 2025 $1.0B $42.2M $0.50
Q3 2024 $1.0B $6.9M N/A
Q2 2024 $1.1B $28.4M $0.32
Q1 2024 $1.2B -$83.9M $0.93
Q3 2023 $1.1B $32.0M $0.34
Q2 2023 $1.1B $11.9M $0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$276.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$179.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$38.3M
Returned to shareholders

BLMN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (CIK: 0001546417)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773353481.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773091874.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759574.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759566.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759553.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BLMN

What is the AI rating for BLMN?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 79% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BLMN's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $276.7M provides debt servicing capability. Free cash flow of $96.8M demonstrates ability to generate cash despite profitability challenges. ChatGPT: Positive operating cash flow of $276.69M supports ongoing operations. Free cash flow remained positive at $96.77M despite meaningful capital spending.

What are the risks of investing in BLMN?

Claude: Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.31x indicating inability to cover short-term obligations. High financial leverage at 2.36x debt-to-equity with $787.4M long-term debt constraining strategic flexibility. ChatGPT: Profitability is very weak, with just 0.9% operating margin and 0.2% net margin. Balance sheet risk is elevated due to high debt-to-equity of 2.36x and low cash of $59.46M.

What is BLMN's revenue and growth?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. reported revenue of $4.0B.

Does BLMN pay dividends?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. pays dividends, with $38.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BLMN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (CIK: 0001546417) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BLMN's EPS?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.10.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is BLMN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. has a SELL rating with 79% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is BLMN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BLMN: ROE of 2.5% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 0.2% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy BLMN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Bloomin' Brands, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BLMN's free cash flow?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $276.7M, with capital expenditures of $179.9M. FCF margin is 2.4%.

How does BLMN compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 0.2% (avg: 8%), ROE 2.5% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.31 (avg: 1.5).

Is Bloomin' Brands, Inc. carrying too much debt?

BLMN has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.36x, which is above the Consumer sector average of 0.8x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-28 | Powered by Claude AI