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Axt Inc. (AXTI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AXTI Nasdaq Semiconductors & Related Devices DE CIK: 0001051627
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
84% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
85% Conf
SELL
82% Conf

📊 AXTI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $88.3M
Net Margin: -24.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-18.8M
Current Ratio: 2.72x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.49
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 85% confidence
Axt Inc. (AXTI) receives a SELL rating with 84% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $88.3M, net profit margin of -24.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -7.8%, Axt Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete AXTI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Axt Inc. (AXTI) a Good Investment?

Claude

AXT Inc demonstrates severe operational distress with consecutive years of substantial net losses (-$21.3M, -24.1% margin) despite flat revenue growth, indicating fundamental business deterioration. Negative free cash flow of -$18.8M and operating cash burn raise critical concerns about sustainability, though the strong cash position of $120.3M provides a temporary buffer.

ChatGPT

AXT's fundamentals are weak: revenue was flat year over year while gross margin remained very low at 12.7%, leading to deeply negative operating and net margins. The company still has a solid balance sheet with $120.27M in cash, no long-term debt, and healthy liquidity, but persistent operating losses and negative free cash flow reduce the quality of that financial cushion if profitability does not improve.

Why Buy Axt Inc. Stock? AXTI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $120.3M cash and 2.72x current ratio providing runway for operations
  • + Zero debt and low leverage (0.00x D/E) reducing financial risk in near term
  • + Reasonable balance sheet with $273.3M stockholders equity and $433.8M total assets
ChatGPT
  • + Strong liquidity profile with a 2.72x current ratio and $120.27M in cash
  • + Debt-free capital structure provides balance sheet flexibility
  • + Large equity base relative to liabilities supports financial resilience

AXTI Stock Risks: Axt Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Operating losses of -$22.0M on $88.3M revenue indicates core business is unprofitable at scale
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$18.8M annually unsustainable; cash burn will deplete reserves at current rate within 6+ years
  • ! Flat revenue growth combined with negative margins suggests market share loss or demand deterioration in semiconductor sector
  • ! Consistently negative net income (-$21.3M) and deteriorating EPS (-$0.49, -81.5% YoY) indicates worsening operational performance
  • ! High insider trading activity (17 Form 4 filings) may indicate confidence concerns among management
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability is severely impaired with -24.9% operating margin and -24.1% net margin
  • ! Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and -21.3% free cash flow margin
  • ! Flat revenue suggests limited operating leverage and poor growth quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical to monitor if burn rate accelerates or stabilizes
  • * Revenue growth trajectory - must return to positive growth to justify asset base
  • * Gross margin sustainability - 12.7% margin leaves minimal cushion for operating expenses
  • * Path to operating profitability - timeline and feasibility of achieving positive operating income
  • * Cash burn rate and runway - months of cash available at current burn rate
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin recovery
  • * Operating cash flow trend

Axt Inc. (AXTI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$88.3M
Net Income
$-21.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.49
Free Cash Flow
$-18.8M
Total Assets
$433.8M
Cash Position
$120.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.72x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AXTI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 12.7%
Operating Margin -24.9%
Net Margin -24.1%
ROE -7.8%
ROA -4.9%
FCF Margin -21.3%

AXTI vs Technology Sector: How Axt Inc. Compares

How Axt Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
AXTI -24.1%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
AXTI Sector
ROE
AXTI -7.8%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
AXTI Sector
Current Ratio
AXTI 2.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
AXTI Sector
Debt/Equity
AXTI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
AXTI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Axt Inc. Stock Overvalued? AXTI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Axt Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-7.8%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
-24.1%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Axt Inc. Balance Sheet: AXTI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.72x
Quick Ratio
1.82x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
22.9%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

AXTI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AXTI 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $102.4M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $137.4M, Net Income -$2.6M, EPS $-0.07. Year 2022: Revenue $141.1M, Net Income $3.2M, EPS $0.07. Year 2023: Revenue $141.1M, Net Income $14.6M, EPS $0.34. Year 2025: Revenue $99.4M, Net Income -$17.9M, EPS $-0.42.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Axt Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 3% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.42 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

AXTI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-21.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AXTI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Axt Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $23.6M -$1.9M $-0.04
Q2 2025 $18.0M -$1.5M $-0.04
Q1 2025 $19.4M -$2.1M $-0.05
Q3 2024 $17.4M -$2.9M $-0.07
Q2 2024 $18.6M -$1.5M $-0.04
Q1 2024 $19.4M -$2.1M $-0.05
Q3 2023 $17.4M $5.8M $0.13
Q2 2023 $18.6M -$5.1M $-0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Axt Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$12.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$6.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AXTI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Axt Inc. (CIK: 0001051627)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 31, 2026 DEF 14A axti20250625_def14a.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 10-K axti20251231_10k.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AXTI

What is the AI rating for AXTI?

Axt Inc. (AXTI) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 84% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AXTI's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $120.3M cash and 2.72x current ratio providing runway for operations. Zero debt and low leverage (0.00x D/E) reducing financial risk in near term. ChatGPT: Strong liquidity profile with a 2.72x current ratio and $120.27M in cash. Debt-free capital structure provides balance sheet flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in AXTI?

Claude: Operating losses of -$22.0M on $88.3M revenue indicates core business is unprofitable at scale. Negative free cash flow of -$18.8M annually unsustainable; cash burn will deplete reserves at current rate within 6+ years. ChatGPT: Profitability is severely impaired with -24.9% operating margin and -24.1% net margin. Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and -21.3% free cash flow margin.

What is AXTI's revenue and growth?

Axt Inc. reported revenue of $88.3M.

Does AXTI pay dividends?

Axt Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AXTI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Axt Inc. (CIK: 0001051627) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AXTI's EPS?

Axt Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.49.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AXTI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Axt Inc. has a SELL rating with 84% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AXTI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AXTI: ROE of -7.8% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of -24.1% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AXTI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Axt Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AXTI's free cash flow?

Axt Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-12.8M, with capital expenditures of $6.0M. FCF margin is -21.3%.

How does AXTI compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin -24.1% (avg: 18%), ROE -7.8% (avg: 22%), current ratio 2.72 (avg: 2.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI