← Back to All US Stocks

American Express Co (AXP) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AXP NYSE Finance Services NY CIK: 0000004962
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 23, 2026 (in 5 days) • Pre-market ET • EPS est. $4.03 (vs $3.64 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
BUY
80% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
78% Conf
BUY
83% Conf

📊 AXP Key Takeaways

Revenue: $41.3B
Net Margin: 26.2%
Free Cash Flow: $16.0B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.68x
EPS: $15.38
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence
American Express Co (AXP) receives a BUY rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $41.3B, net profit margin of 26.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 32.4%, American Express Co demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AXP stock analysis for 2026.

Is American Express Co (AXP) a Good Investment?

Claude

American Express demonstrates exceptional financial health with robust profitability (26.2% net margin, 32.4% ROE) and strong revenue growth of 61.4% YoY, indicating successful credit card and financial services expansion. The company generates substantial free cash flow of $16.0B with a healthy 38.7% FCF margin, supported by solid interest coverage of 6.9x, though leverage at 1.68x debt-to-equity warrants monitoring in rising rate environments.

ChatGPT

American Express shows strong core fundamentals, with high operating and net margins, excellent ROE, and robust free cash flow generation. Financial health appears solid given its cash position, earnings power, and manageable interest coverage, though the sharp revenue growth alongside nearly flat net income suggests growth quality should be monitored for efficiency and credit-cost pressure.

Why Buy American Express Co Stock? AXP Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 26.2% net margin and 32.4% ROE significantly above financial services median
  • + Strong revenue growth of 61.4% YoY demonstrates robust customer demand and pricing power
  • + Substantial free cash flow generation of $16.0B with 38.7% FCF margin provides financial flexibility
  • + Healthy interest coverage of 6.9x supports current debt service capability
  • + Large cash position of $47.8B provides liquidity buffer and strategic optionality
  • + Significant insider activity with 32 Form 4 filings in last 90 days suggests management confidence
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 33.4% operating margin and 26.2% net margin
  • + Strong capital efficiency, highlighted by 32.4% ROE and solid 3.6% ROA
  • + Robust cash generation with $18.43B operating cash flow and $16.00B free cash flow

AXP Stock Risks: American Express Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Elevated leverage at 1.68x debt-to-equity could constrain financial flexibility if credit conditions deteriorate
  • ! Net income growth of only 0.5% YoY despite 61.4% revenue growth suggests margin compression or charge-offs from credit expansion
  • ! Exposure to consumer credit cycles; economic slowdown could impair cardholder payment ability and increase provisions
  • ! Rising interest rates benefit lending but may pressure consumer borrowing and delinquency rates
  • ! Concentration in credit card and charge services makes diversification limited relative to universal banks
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income growth of just 0.5% lags far behind revenue growth, indicating possible margin or expense pressure
  • ! Leverage remains meaningful with $56.39B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity
  • ! As a financial services company, results are sensitive to credit performance and funding costs

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Charge-off rates and credit loss provisions as percentage of revenue to assess credit quality deterioration
  • * Year-over-year net income growth relative to revenue growth to monitor margin sustainability
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and absolute debt levels given leverage elevated relative to historical norms
  • * Operating cash flow trends independent of working capital changes to assess underlying cash generation quality
  • * Return on equity progression to ensure profitability gains are maintained amid credit cycle normalization
ChatGPT
  • * Net income growth relative to revenue growth
  • * Interest coverage and credit-loss trends

American Express Co (AXP) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$41.3B
Net Income
$10.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$15.38
Free Cash Flow
$16.0B
Total Assets
$300.1B
Cash Position
$47.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 38.7% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

AXP Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 33.4%
Net Margin 26.2%
ROE 32.4%
ROA 3.6%
FCF Margin 38.7%

AXP vs Finance Sector: How American Express Co Compares

How American Express Co compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AXP 26.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AXP Sector
ROE
AXP 32.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AXP Sector
Current Ratio
AXP 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AXP Sector
Debt/Equity
AXP 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AXP Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is American Express Co Stock Overvalued? AXP Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, American Express Co appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
32.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
26.2%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.68x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

American Express Co Balance Sheet: AXP Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.68x
Debt/Assets
88.8%
Interest Coverage
6.88x
Long-term Debt
$56.4B

AXP Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AXP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $28.2B, Net Income $6.8B, EPS $7.99. Year 2022: Revenue $34.2B, Net Income $3.1B, EPS $3.77. Year 2023: Revenue $37.2B, Net Income $8.1B, EPS $10.02. Year 2024: Revenue $38.8B, Net Income $7.5B, EPS $9.85. Year 2025: Revenue $41.3B, Net Income $8.4B, EPS $11.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: American Express Co's revenue has grown significantly by 47% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $11.21 reflects profitable operations.

AXP Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
38.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AXP Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for American Express Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $9.7B $2.5B $3.49
Q2 2025 $9.8B $2.9B $4.08
Q1 2025 $9.3B $2.4B $3.33
Q3 2024 $9.4B $2.5B $3.30
Q2 2024 $9.4B $2.2B $2.89
Q1 2024 $8.8B $1.8B $2.40
Q3 2023 $8.7B $1.9B $2.47
Q2 2023 $8.8B $2.0B $2.57

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

American Express Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$18.4B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$5.8B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.4B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$2.3B
Returned to shareholders

AXP SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for American Express Co (CIK: 0000004962)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 8-K axp-20260415.htm View →
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AXP

What is the AI rating for AXP?

American Express Co (AXP) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AXP's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 26.2% net margin and 32.4% ROE significantly above financial services median. Strong revenue growth of 61.4% YoY demonstrates robust customer demand and pricing power. ChatGPT: High profitability with 33.4% operating margin and 26.2% net margin. Strong capital efficiency, highlighted by 32.4% ROE and solid 3.6% ROA.

What are the risks of investing in AXP?

Claude: Elevated leverage at 1.68x debt-to-equity could constrain financial flexibility if credit conditions deteriorate. Net income growth of only 0.5% YoY despite 61.4% revenue growth suggests margin compression or charge-offs from credit expansion. ChatGPT: Net income growth of just 0.5% lags far behind revenue growth, indicating possible margin or expense pressure. Leverage remains meaningful with $56.39B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity.

What is AXP's revenue and growth?

American Express Co reported revenue of $41.3B.

Does AXP pay dividends?

American Express Co pays dividends, with $2,271.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AXP SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for American Express Co (CIK: 0000004962) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AXP's EPS?

American Express Co has a diluted EPS of $15.38.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AXP a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, American Express Co has a BUY rating with 80% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is AXP stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AXP: ROE of 32.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 26.2% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy AXP stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives American Express Co a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AXP's free cash flow?

American Express Co's operating cash flow is $18.4B, with capital expenditures of $2.4B. FCF margin is 38.7%.

How does AXP compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 26.2% (avg: 25%), ROE 32.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is American Express Co carrying too much debt?

AXP has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.68x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

Why is AXP's return on equity (ROE) so high?

American Express Co has a return on equity of 32.4%, significantly above the Finance sector average of 12%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 26.2% net margin.

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Sector: All Finance Stocks →
Browse: Buy Stocks High Confidence Stocks High ROE Stocks
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI