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Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ARCC Nasdaq MD CIK: 0001287750
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 28, 2026 (in 12 days) • Pre-market ET • EPS est. $0.48 (vs $0.50 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
HOLD
74% Conf

📊 ARCC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $-1.7B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.12x
EPS: $1.86
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of 9.1% Below is our complete ARCC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) a Good Investment?

Claude

ARCC is a well-capitalized BDC with substantial assets and equity, but faces headwinds including declining profitability (down 14.7% YoY) and negative operating cash flow of -$1.7B, suggesting portfolio deterioration and significant dividend payouts exceeding net income. The moderate ROE of 9.1% and manageable leverage at 1.12x provide a reasonable financial cushion, though the negative free cash flow and margin compression warrant cautious observation.

ChatGPT

ARES CAPITAL CORP shows solid scale, meaningful equity capital, and still-healthy absolute profitability, with $1.30B in net income and moderate leverage for a credit-focused lender. However, the year-over-year declines in net income and diluted EPS, combined with negative operating cash flow and high long-term debt, suggest fundamentals are stable but not clearly improving. The business looks financially sound enough to avoid a bearish stance, but current trend quality does not justify a more aggressive rating.

Why Buy Ares Capital Corp. Stock? ARCC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Large asset base of $31.2B with significant equity cushion of $14.3B providing financial stability
  • + Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12x is conservative for a BDC, indicating manageable leverage
  • + ROE of 9.1% demonstrates reasonable returns on shareholder capital despite challenging environment
ChatGPT
  • + Large asset base and $14.32B of equity provide balance-sheet capacity and loss-absorption support
  • + Remains strongly profitable in absolute terms despite earnings pressure, with positive ROE of 9.1% and ROA of 4.2%
  • + Debt/equity of 1.12x is manageable for a lending platform and indicates leverage is not excessively stretched

ARCC Stock Risks: Ares Capital Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income declined 14.7% YoY and EPS down 23.8%, indicating deteriorating portfolio performance and investment quality
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$1.7B and negative free cash flow suggest portfolio valuations are declining and dividend payments exceed earnings
  • ! High long-term debt of $16.0B relative to operating cash flow creates refinancing risk if credit markets tighten or portfolio deteriorates further
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income fell 14.7% year over year and diluted EPS dropped 23.8%, pointing to weakening earnings momentum
  • ! Operating cash flow was negative $1.72B, which can signal weaker cash conversion or portfolio funding pressure
  • ! Long-term debt of $15.99B is substantial, leaving results sensitive to credit losses, funding costs, and refinancing conditions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Trend in net income and portfolio impairments
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and dividend coverage ratios
  • * Credit quality deterioration within investment portfolio
  • * Refinancing needs and debt maturity schedule
ChatGPT
  • * Net investment income and diluted EPS trend
  • * Non-accruals/credit quality and debt-to-equity trend

Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$1.3B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.86
Free Cash Flow
$-1.7B
Total Assets
$31.2B
Cash Position
$638.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

ARCC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 9.1%
ROA 4.2%
FCF Margin N/A

ARCC vs Market Sector: How Ares Capital Corp. Compares

How Ares Capital Corp. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
ARCC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ARCC Sector
ROE
ARCC 9.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
ARCC Sector
Current Ratio
ARCC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
ARCC Sector
Debt/Equity
ARCC 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
ARCC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ares Capital Corp. Stock Overvalued? ARCC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ares Capital Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.1%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.12x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ares Capital Corp. Balance Sheet: ARCC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.12x
Debt/Assets
54.2%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$16.0B

ARCC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ARCC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ares Capital Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.68 reflects profitable operations.

ARCC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

Ares Capital Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$1.7B
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$1.3B
Returned to shareholders

ARCC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ares Capital Corp. (CIK: 0001287750)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 10-K/A arcc-20251231.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 DEF 14A tm261483-2_def14a.htm View →
Feb 27, 2026 8-K arcc-20260225.htm View →
Feb 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/tm265470-5_4seq1.xml View →
Feb 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/tm265470-3_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ARCC

What is the AI rating for ARCC?

Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ARCC's key strengths?

Claude: Large asset base of $31.2B with significant equity cushion of $14.3B providing financial stability. Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12x is conservative for a BDC, indicating manageable leverage. ChatGPT: Large asset base and $14.32B of equity provide balance-sheet capacity and loss-absorption support. Remains strongly profitable in absolute terms despite earnings pressure, with positive ROE of 9.1% and ROA of 4.2%.

What are the risks of investing in ARCC?

Claude: Net income declined 14.7% YoY and EPS down 23.8%, indicating deteriorating portfolio performance and investment quality. Negative operating cash flow of -$1.7B and negative free cash flow suggest portfolio valuations are declining and dividend payments exceed earnings. ChatGPT: Net income fell 14.7% year over year and diluted EPS dropped 23.8%, pointing to weakening earnings momentum. Operating cash flow was negative $1.72B, which can signal weaker cash conversion or portfolio funding pressure.

What is ARCC's revenue and growth?

Ares Capital Corp. reported revenue of N/A.

Does ARCC pay dividends?

Ares Capital Corp. pays dividends, with $1,264.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ARCC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ares Capital Corp. (CIK: 0001287750) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ARCC's EPS?

Ares Capital Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ARCC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Ares Capital Corp. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ARCC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ARCC: ROE of 9.1% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ARCC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ares Capital Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ARCC's free cash flow?

Ares Capital Corp.'s operating cash flow is $-1.7B, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does ARCC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 9.1% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI