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Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

APD NYSE Industrial Inorganic Chemicals DE CIK: 0000002969
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
81% Conf

📊 APD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.1B
Net Margin: 21.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-350.5M
Current Ratio: 1.46x
Debt/Equity: 1.17x
EPS: $3.04
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $3.1B, net profit margin of 21.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.4%, Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete APD stock analysis for 2026.

Is Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) a Good Investment?

Claude

Air Products demonstrates solid operational profitability with strong margins (23.7% operating margin) and stable revenue, but faces concerning headwinds including declining net income (-11.3% YoY), negative free cash flow (-$350.5M), and high leverage (1.17x D/E ratio with $18B debt). The company's capital intensity and cash flow deterioration warrant caution despite respectable core profitability.

ChatGPT

Air Products & Chemicals shows solid core profitability with strong operating and net margins, supported by resilient operating cash flow and acceptable interest coverage. However, revenue is flat to slightly down, net income is declining, leverage is elevated, and free cash flow is negative due to heavy capital spending, which weakens near-term growth quality and balance sheet flexibility. Fundamentally, this looks like a high-quality industrial business in an investment-heavy phase rather than a clearly strengthening one.

Why Buy Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Stock? APD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional gross margin of 96.6% indicating strong pricing power and cost control in chemical production
  • + Robust operating margin of 23.7% demonstrating efficient core business operations
  • + Adequate interest coverage ratio of 6.5x suggesting manageable debt service capacity
  • + Solid current and quick ratios (1.46x and 1.23x) indicating adequate short-term liquidity
ChatGPT
  • + Strong operating profitability with 23.7% operating margin and 21.9% net margin
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $900.7M and adequate liquidity with a 1.46x current ratio
  • + Interest coverage of 6.5x suggests debt servicing remains manageable despite higher leverage

APD Stock Risks: Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$350.5M indicates capital expenditures ($1.3B) exceed operating cash generation, unsustainable for dividend/debt reduction
  • ! Declining net income (-11.3% YoY) and diluted EPS (-110.3% YoY) signal deteriorating profitability despite stable revenue, suggesting margin compression
  • ! High leverage with $18B long-term debt against $15.4B equity creates vulnerability to economic downturns and rising interest rates
  • ! Low returns on equity (4.4%) and assets (1.6%) indicate inefficient capital deployment relative to substantial asset base of $41.2B
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue declined 0.5% YoY and net income fell 11.3% YoY, pointing to weakening earnings momentum
  • ! Free cash flow is negative at -$350.5M because capital expenditures exceed operating cash generation
  • ! Leverage is meaningful with $18.0B long-term debt and 1.17x debt-to-equity, limiting flexibility if projects underperform

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend - critical to monitor if negative cash generation continues and sustainability of capital allocation
  • * Operating margin trajectory - determine if 23.7% can be maintained or will further compression occur
  • * Debt levels and refinancing costs - track if rising rates materially impact interest coverage and financial flexibility
  • * Capital expenditure efficiency - assess whether the $1.3B capex generates adequate returns given low ROE/ROA metrics
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow improvement relative to capital expenditures
  • * Net income and operating margin trend over the next few filings

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$3.1B
Net Income
$678.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.04
Free Cash Flow
$-350.5M
Total Assets
$41.2B
Cash Position
$1.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

APD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 96.6%
Operating Margin 23.7%
Net Margin 21.9%
ROE 4.4%
ROA 1.6%
FCF Margin -11.3%

APD vs Materials Sector: How Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Compares

How Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
APD 21.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
APD Sector
ROE
APD 4.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
APD Sector
Current Ratio
APD 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
APD Sector
Debt/Equity
APD 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
APD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Stock Overvalued? APD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
21.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.17x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Balance Sheet: APD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.46x
Quick Ratio
1.23x
Debt/Equity
1.17x
Debt/Assets
56.7%
Interest Coverage
6.48x
Long-term Debt
$18.0B

APD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

APD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $10.3B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $7.94. Year 2022: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $1.9B, EPS $8.49. Year 2023: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $2.1B, EPS $9.43. Year 2024: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $2.3B, EPS $10.14. Year 2025: Revenue $12.6B, Net Income $2.3B, EPS $10.33.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 22% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $10.33 reflects profitable operations.

APD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-11.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

APD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.9B $617.4M $2.77
Q3 2025 $3.0B -$399.4M $-1.79
Q2 2025 $2.9B $572.4M $2.57
Q1 2025 $2.9B $609.3M $2.73
Q3 2024 $3.0B $595.6M $2.67
Q2 2024 $2.9B $439.8M $1.97
Q1 2024 $3.0B $572.2M $2.57
Q3 2023 $3.0B $582.1M $2.62

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$900.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.3B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$398.4M
Returned to shareholders

APD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (CIK: 0000002969)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about APD

What is the AI rating for APD?

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are APD's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional gross margin of 96.6% indicating strong pricing power and cost control in chemical production. Robust operating margin of 23.7% demonstrating efficient core business operations. ChatGPT: Strong operating profitability with 23.7% operating margin and 21.9% net margin. Positive operating cash flow of $900.7M and adequate liquidity with a 1.46x current ratio.

What are the risks of investing in APD?

Claude: Negative free cash flow of -$350.5M indicates capital expenditures ($1.3B) exceed operating cash generation, unsustainable for dividend/debt reduction. Declining net income (-11.3% YoY) and diluted EPS (-110.3% YoY) signal deteriorating profitability despite stable revenue, suggesting margin compression. ChatGPT: Revenue declined 0.5% YoY and net income fell 11.3% YoY, pointing to weakening earnings momentum. Free cash flow is negative at -$350.5M because capital expenditures exceed operating cash generation.

What is APD's revenue and growth?

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. reported revenue of $3.1B.

Does APD pay dividends?

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. pays dividends, with $398.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find APD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (CIK: 0000002969) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is APD's EPS?

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $3.04.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is APD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is APD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for APD: ROE of 4.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 21.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy APD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is APD's free cash flow?

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $900.7M, with capital expenditures of $1.3B. FCF margin is -11.3%.

How does APD compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 21.9% (avg: 10%), ROE 4.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.46 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI