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Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ALSN NYSE Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories DE CIK: 0001411207
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
BUY
73% Conf

📊 ALSN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.0B
Net Margin: 20.7%
Free Cash Flow: $661.0M
Current Ratio: 4.85x
Debt/Equity: 1.56x
EPS: $7.33
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) receives a BUY rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $3.0B, net profit margin of 20.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 33.4%, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete ALSN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Allison Transmission demonstrates exceptional operational efficiency with a 29.2% operating margin and strong profitability metrics (20.7% net margin, 33.4% ROE) despite a concerning revenue spike that lacks clear fundamental explanation. The company maintains fortress-like liquidity (4.85x current ratio) with substantial free cash flow generation ($661M, 22% FCF margin), providing strategic flexibility. However, the extraordinary 3371.7% revenue growth requires careful verification as it appears anomalous and may reflect acquisition activity, restructuring, or data irregularities that warrant investigation.

ChatGPT

Allison Transmission shows strong underlying fundamentals, with high gross, operating, and net margins alongside robust free cash flow generation. The balance sheet is liquid and profitability remains solid, but declining net income/EPS and the extreme reported revenue growth suggest growth quality should be treated cautiously until confirmed by future filings.

Why Buy Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Stock? ALSN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 29.2% demonstrates pricing power and operational discipline in the motor vehicle components sector
  • + Outstanding cash generation with $661M free cash flow and 22% FCF margin, enabling debt reduction and shareholder returns
  • + Fortress balance sheet with $1.5B cash, 4.85x current ratio, and 4.17x quick ratio providing substantial financial flexibility
  • + Strong return metrics (33.4% ROE, 10.2% ROA) indicating efficient capital deployment and asset utilization
  • + Significant insider activity with 23 Form 4 filings suggesting confidence in company direction
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, and 20.7% net margin
  • + Strong cash generation with $836.00M operating cash flow and $661.00M free cash flow
  • + Healthy liquidity position with $1.50B cash and current ratio of 4.85x

ALSN Stock Risks: Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Unexplained 3371.7% revenue increase raises red flags regarding data quality, potential one-time events, or acquisition-driven growth lacking organic foundation
  • ! Despite strong margins, net income declined 14.8% YoY while revenue exploded, suggesting margin compression or integration challenges
  • ! High financial leverage with 1.56x Debt/Equity ratio and $2.9B long-term debt creates vulnerability to economic cycles and working capital pressures
  • ! Missing interest coverage ratio prevents full assessment of debt service capability relative to earnings
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 11.8% YoY despite apparent revenue growth, indicating significant shareholder dilution or earnings quality concerns
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income and diluted EPS declined year over year, indicating earnings pressure despite reported revenue growth
  • ! Leverage remains meaningful with $2.91B long-term debt and 1.56x debt-to-equity
  • ! Reported 3371.7% revenue growth appears unusual, raising questions about comparability or growth quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Organic revenue growth versus reported growth; need to verify if growth is acquisition-driven or operational
  • * Operating margin sustainability - monitor if 29.2% margin persists or was inflated by unusual items
  • * Debt reduction trajectory given $2.9B long-term debt burden; track whether strong FCF is prioritizing leverage reduction
  • * Working capital trends and capital expenditure efficiency to validate cash flow quality
  • * Year-over-year comparisons in next reporting period to establish true growth trajectory and normalize for potential data anomalies
ChatGPT
  • * Net income and diluted EPS trend
  • * Free cash flow consistency and debt reduction progress

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$3.0B
Net Income
$623.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$7.33
Free Cash Flow
$661.0M
Total Assets
$6.1B
Cash Position
$1.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 22.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 4.85x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

ALSN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 48.6%
Operating Margin 29.2%
Net Margin 20.7%
ROE 33.4%
ROA 10.2%
FCF Margin 22.0%

ALSN vs Automotive Sector: How Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Compares

How Allison Transmission Holdings Inc compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
ALSN 20.7%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
ALSN Sector
ROE
ALSN 33.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ALSN Sector
Current Ratio
ALSN 4.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
ALSN Sector
Debt/Equity
ALSN 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
ALSN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Stock Overvalued? ALSN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
33.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
20.7%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.56x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Balance Sheet: ALSN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.85x
Quick Ratio
4.17x
Debt/Equity
1.56x
Debt/Assets
69.3%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$2.9B

ALSN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ALSN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income $604.0M, EPS $4.91. Year 2022: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $299.0M, EPS $2.62. Year 2023: Revenue $3.0B, Net Income $442.0M, EPS $4.13. Year 2024: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $531.0M, EPS $5.53. Year 2025: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $673.0M, EPS $7.40.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's revenue has grown significantly by 20% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.40 reflects profitable operations.

ALSN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
22.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALSN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $693.0M $137.0M $1.63
Q2 2025 $814.0M $187.0M $2.13
Q1 2025 $766.0M $169.0M $1.90
Q3 2024 $736.0M $158.0M $1.76
Q2 2024 $783.0M $175.0M $1.92
Q1 2024 $741.0M $169.0M $1.85
Q3 2023 $710.0M $139.0M $1.45
Q2 2023 $664.0M $122.0M $1.26

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$836.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$328.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$175.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$91.0M
Returned to shareholders

ALSN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (CIK: 0001411207)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 25, 2026 DEF 14A ny20058865x1_def14a.htm View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ALSN

What is the AI rating for ALSN?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ALSN's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 29.2% demonstrates pricing power and operational discipline in the motor vehicle components sector. Outstanding cash generation with $661M free cash flow and 22% FCF margin, enabling debt reduction and shareholder returns. ChatGPT: High profitability with 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, and 20.7% net margin. Strong cash generation with $836.00M operating cash flow and $661.00M free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in ALSN?

Claude: Unexplained 3371.7% revenue increase raises red flags regarding data quality, potential one-time events, or acquisition-driven growth lacking organic foundation. Despite strong margins, net income declined 14.8% YoY while revenue exploded, suggesting margin compression or integration challenges. ChatGPT: Net income and diluted EPS declined year over year, indicating earnings pressure despite reported revenue growth. Leverage remains meaningful with $2.91B long-term debt and 1.56x debt-to-equity.

What is ALSN's revenue and growth?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc reported revenue of $3.0B.

Does ALSN pay dividends?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc pays dividends, with $91.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ALSN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (CIK: 0001411207) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ALSN's EPS?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has a diluted EPS of $7.33.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ALSN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ALSN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ALSN: ROE of 33.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 20.7% (sector avg: 6%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy ALSN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Allison Transmission Holdings Inc a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ALSN's free cash flow?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's operating cash flow is $836.0M, with capital expenditures of $175.0M. FCF margin is 22.0%.

How does ALSN compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 20.7% (avg: 6%), ROE 33.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio 4.85 (avg: 1.2).

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc carrying too much debt?

ALSN has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56x, which is above the Automotive sector average of 1x. However, the current ratio of 4.85 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

Why is ALSN's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has a return on equity of 33.4%, significantly above the Automotive sector average of 12%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 20.7% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI