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Alico, Inc.. (ALCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ALCO Nasdaq Agricultural Production-Crops FL CIK: 0000003545
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
STRONG SELL
92% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
95% Conf
STRONG SELL
89% Conf

📊 ALCO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.9M
Net Margin: -184.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-6.0M
Current Ratio: 14.39x
Debt/Equity: 0.83x
EPS: $-0.45
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 95% confidence
Alico, Inc.. (ALCO) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.9M, net profit margin of -184.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -3.5%, Alico, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete ALCO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Alico, Inc.. (ALCO) a Good Investment?

Claude

ALICO faces severe operational distress with negative profitability across all metrics, including -184.5% net margin and -453.4% operating margin, indicating the company is burning cash on minimal revenue of $1.9M. While the balance sheet shows adequate liquidity (14.39x current ratio) and manageable leverage (0.83x debt/equity), the company's core agricultural business is fundamentally unprofitable and negative free cash flow of -$6.0M demonstrates unsustainable operations. Without evidence of operational turnaround or significant revenue recovery, the company faces continued value destruction.

ChatGPT

Alico’s fundamentals are weak: revenue is declining, margins are deeply negative, and the business is consuming cash rather than generating it. While the balance sheet still shows meaningful cash and strong near-term liquidity, current operating performance is not supporting the capital structure, and negative interest coverage points to ongoing financial strain if profitability does not improve quickly.

Why Buy Alico, Inc.. Stock? ALCO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $34.8M cash and 14.39x current ratio providing runway for operations
  • + Moderate leverage with 0.83x debt/equity ratio and $99.6M equity base providing financial flexibility
  • + Substantial asset base of $195.0M provides collateral and potential liquidation value
ChatGPT
  • + Very strong current and quick ratios indicate ample near-term liquidity
  • + Cash balance of $34.76M provides a short-term buffer against ongoing losses
  • + Debt/equity of 0.83x is not extreme relative to the remaining equity base

ALCO Stock Risks: Alico, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe unprofitability: -184.5% net margin, -453.4% operating margin, and negative gross margin of -294.3% indicate fundamental business model failure
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$6.0M and negative operating cash flow of -$5.5M demonstrate unsustainable cash burn with only $34.8M in reserves
  • ! Core revenue collapse at $1.9M with no apparent path to profitability or growth, suggesting structural challenges in agricultural production segment
  • ! Negative interest coverage of -8.9x indicates inability to service debt from operations, creating refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Gross, operating, and net margins are severely negative, indicating an unprofitable core business
  • ! Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, reducing financial flexibility
  • ! Negative interest coverage suggests earnings are insufficient to support debt servicing from operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and quarterly revenue stabilization
  • * Path to gross profit recovery and operating margin improvement
  • * Cash runway depletion rate and refinancing requirements on $82.8M long-term debt
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin and revenue trend for evidence of core operating recovery
  • * Operating cash flow relative to debt obligations and cash balance

Alico, Inc.. (ALCO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.9M
Net Income
$-3.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.45
Free Cash Flow
$-6.0M
Total Assets
$195.0M
Cash Position
$34.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 14.39x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

ALCO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin -294.3%
Operating Margin -453.4%
Net Margin -184.5%
ROE -3.5%
ROA -1.8%
FCF Margin -315.6%

ALCO vs Market Sector: How Alico, Inc.. Compares

How Alico, Inc.. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
ALCO -184.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ALCO Sector
ROE
ALCO -3.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
ALCO Sector
Current Ratio
ALCO 14.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
ALCO Sector
Debt/Equity
ALCO 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
ALCO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Alico, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? ALCO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Alico, Inc.. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-3.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-184.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.83x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Alico, Inc.. Balance Sheet: ALCO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
14.39x
Quick Ratio
13.02x
Debt/Equity
0.83x
Debt/Assets
46.4%
Interest Coverage
-8.87x
Long-term Debt
$82.8M

ALCO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ALCO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $122.3M, Net Income $37.8M, EPS $5.05. Year 2022: Revenue $108.6M, Net Income $23.7M, EPS $3.16. Year 2023: Revenue $108.6M, Net Income $34.9M, EPS $4.64. Year 2024: Revenue $46.6M, Net Income $1.8M, EPS $0.24. Year 2025: Revenue $46.6M, Net Income $7.0M, EPS $0.91.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Alico, Inc..'s revenue has declined by 62% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $0.91 reflects profitable operations.

ALCO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-315.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALCO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Alico, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $8.4M -$2.0M $-0.27
Q2 2025 $18.0M -$15.8M $-2.07
Q1 2025 $1.9M -$3.5M $-0.45
Q3 2024 $7.3M $895.0K $0.12
Q2 2024 $18.1M -$7.8M $-1.02
Q1 2024 $10.6M -$3.2M $-0.41
Q3 2023 $7.3M $895.0K $0.12
Q2 2023 $21.3M -$7.8M $-1.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Alico, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$5.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$238.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$487.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$383.0K
Returned to shareholders

ALCO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Alico, Inc.. (CIK: 0000003545)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775134316.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775133797.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775133699.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775133597.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 8-K alco-20260324.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ALCO

What is the AI rating for ALCO?

Alico, Inc.. (ALCO) has a Combined AI Rating of STRONG SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (STRONG SELL) with 92% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ALCO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $34.8M cash and 14.39x current ratio providing runway for operations. Moderate leverage with 0.83x debt/equity ratio and $99.6M equity base providing financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Very strong current and quick ratios indicate ample near-term liquidity. Cash balance of $34.76M provides a short-term buffer against ongoing losses.

What are the risks of investing in ALCO?

Claude: Severe unprofitability: -184.5% net margin, -453.4% operating margin, and negative gross margin of -294.3% indicate fundamental business model failure. Negative free cash flow of -$6.0M and negative operating cash flow of -$5.5M demonstrate unsustainable cash burn with only $34.8M in reserves. ChatGPT: Gross, operating, and net margins are severely negative, indicating an unprofitable core business. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, reducing financial flexibility.

What is ALCO's revenue and growth?

Alico, Inc.. reported revenue of $1.9M.

Does ALCO pay dividends?

Alico, Inc.. pays dividends, with $0.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ALCO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Alico, Inc.. (CIK: 0000003545) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ALCO's EPS?

Alico, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-0.45.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ALCO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Alico, Inc.. has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ALCO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ALCO: ROE of -3.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -184.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ALCO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Alico, Inc.. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ALCO's free cash flow?

Alico, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $-5.5M, with capital expenditures of $487.0K. FCF margin is -315.6%.

How does ALCO compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -184.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -3.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio 14.39 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI