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Air Lease Corp. (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AL NYSE Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC DE CIK: 0001487712
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
82% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG BUY
87% Conf
BUY
78% Conf

📊 AL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.0B
Net Margin: 36.1%
Free Cash Flow: $1.5B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 2.33x
EPS: $9.29
AI Rating: STRONG BUY with 87% confidence
Air Lease Corp. (AL) receives a BUY rating with 82% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $3.0B, net profit margin of 36.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%, Air Lease Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete AL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Air Lease Corp. (AL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Air Lease demonstrates exceptional fundamental strength with robust profitability (36.1% net margin, 45.4% operating margin) and substantial free cash flow generation ($1.5B FCF with 49.6% margin). The 810.5% revenue growth coupled with 179% EPS growth signals strong operational leverage and market demand, while the company maintains a healthy 7.0x interest coverage ratio despite significant leverage.

ChatGPT

Air Lease Corp shows strong core profitability, with a 45.4% operating margin, 36.1% net margin, and solid cash generation reflected in $1.50B of free cash flow. Financial quality is supported by adequate interest coverage and positive earnings growth, but the balance sheet remains heavily levered with $19.73B of long-term debt, so the story depends on maintaining lease economics, funding access, and disciplined capital allocation.

Why Buy Air Lease Corp. Stock? AL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 36.1% net margin and 45.4% operating margin
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $1.5B with 49.6% FCF margin demonstrates cash conversion efficiency
  • + Robust revenue growth of 810.5% YoY with EPS growth of 179% indicating operational leverage and market momentum
  • + Solid interest coverage ratio of 7.0x provides adequate debt servicing capability
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $1.7B substantially exceeds capital expenditure needs
  • + High insider activity with 26 Form 4 filings in last 90 days suggests management confidence
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 45.4% operating margin and 36.1% net margin
  • + Strong cash generation, with $1.73B operating cash flow and $1.50B free cash flow
  • + Earnings remain positive and growing, with net income up 4.2% YoY and ROE at 12.8%

AL Stock Risks: Air Lease Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage with 2.33x debt-to-equity ratio and $19.7B long-term debt representing 61% of total assets creates vulnerability to interest rate increases and economic downturns
  • ! Extraordinary revenue growth of 810.5% may not be sustainable and could indicate one-time revenue recognition or business model shifts requiring validation
  • ! Low ROA of 3.3% relative to asset base of $32.9B suggests capital intensity and potential asset quality concerns in equipment lease portfolio
  • ! Equipment leasing industry exposure to cyclical economic conditions, airline/aviation sector volatility, and aircraft demand fluctuations
  • ! Modest cash position of $466.4M represents only 1.4% of total assets, limiting financial flexibility despite strong cash generation
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage, with debt/equity of 2.33x and $19.73B in long-term debt
  • ! Low cash balance relative to asset base and debt load, at $466.41M
  • ! Revenue growth appears unusually large versus modest net income growth, which may indicate lower-quality or non-recurring growth dynamics

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Lease portfolio quality and default rates on aircraft equipment leases
  • * Ability to sustain high margins as revenue growth moderates to normalized levels
  • * Debt refinancing capacity and interest rate exposure on $19.7B long-term debt
  • * Free cash flow generation and capital allocation decisions (dividends vs debt reduction)
  • * Aircraft market conditions and utilization rates affecting lease valuations and revenues
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and debt refinancing profile
  • * Operating cash flow consistency relative to net income

Air Lease Corp. (AL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$3.0B
Net Income
$1.1B
EPS (Diluted)
$9.29
Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
Total Assets
$32.9B
Cash Position
$466.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 49.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

AL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 45.4%
Net Margin 36.1%
ROE 12.8%
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin 49.6%

AL vs Industrial Sector: How Air Lease Corp. Compares

How Air Lease Corp. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
AL 36.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
AL Sector
ROE
AL 12.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
AL Sector
Current Ratio
AL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
AL Sector
Debt/Equity
AL 2.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
AL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Air Lease Corp. Stock Overvalued? AL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Air Lease Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
36.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.33x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Air Lease Corp. Balance Sheet: AL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
2.33x
Debt/Assets
74.2%
Interest Coverage
7.03x
Long-term Debt
$19.7B

AL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $100.0M, Net Income $587.1M, EPS $5.09. Year 2022: Revenue $102.8M, Net Income $516.3M, EPS $4.39. Year 2023: Revenue $207.4M, Net Income $436.6M, EPS $3.57. Year 2024: Revenue $245.7M, Net Income -$97.0M, EPS $-1.24. Year 2025: Revenue $331.2M, Net Income $614.6M, EPS $5.14.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Air Lease Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 231% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.14 reflects profitable operations.

AL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
49.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Air Lease Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $44.5M $102.9M $0.82
Q2 2025 $53.0M $102.9M $0.81
Q1 2025 $49.0M $107.9M $0.87
Q3 2024 $55.3M $102.9M $0.82
Q2 2024 $57.8M $102.9M $0.81
Q1 2024 $18.4M $107.9M $0.87
Q3 2023 $19.9M $110.4M $0.90
Q2 2023 $12.4M $116.3M $0.95

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Air Lease Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.7B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$237.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$98.3M
Returned to shareholders

AL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Air Lease Corp. (CIK: 0001487712)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 14, 2026 8-K d119227d8k.htm View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04102026_090430.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04102026_090428.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04102026_090426.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04102026_090425.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AL

What is the AI rating for AL?

Air Lease Corp. (AL) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (STRONG BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 82% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 36.1% net margin and 45.4% operating margin. Strong free cash flow generation of $1.5B with 49.6% FCF margin demonstrates cash conversion efficiency. ChatGPT: High profitability with 45.4% operating margin and 36.1% net margin. Strong cash generation, with $1.73B operating cash flow and $1.50B free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in AL?

Claude: High financial leverage with 2.33x debt-to-equity ratio and $19.7B long-term debt representing 61% of total assets creates vulnerability to interest rate increases and economic downturns. Extraordinary revenue growth of 810.5% may not be sustainable and could indicate one-time revenue recognition or business model shifts requiring validation. ChatGPT: High leverage, with debt/equity of 2.33x and $19.73B in long-term debt. Low cash balance relative to asset base and debt load, at $466.41M.

What is AL's revenue and growth?

Air Lease Corp. reported revenue of $3.0B.

Does AL pay dividends?

Air Lease Corp. pays dividends, with $98.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Air Lease Corp. (CIK: 0001487712) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AL's EPS?

Air Lease Corp. has a diluted EPS of $9.29.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Air Lease Corp. has a BUY rating with 82% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is AL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AL: ROE of 12.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 36.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Air Lease Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AL's free cash flow?

Air Lease Corp.'s operating cash flow is $1.7B, with capital expenditures of $237.7M. FCF margin is 49.6%.

How does AL compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 36.1% (avg: 10%), ROE 12.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Is Air Lease Corp. carrying too much debt?

AL has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33x, which is above the Industrial sector average of 0.7x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI