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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AJG NYSE Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service DE CIK: 0000354190
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
BUY
72% Conf

📊 AJG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $13.9B
Net Margin: 10.7%
Free Cash Flow: $1.9B
Current Ratio: 1.06x
Debt/Equity: 0.55x
EPS: $5.74
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) receives a BUY rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $13.9B, net profit margin of 10.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.4%, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AJG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) a Good Investment?

Claude

AJG demonstrates solid revenue growth of 20.7% YoY with strong operating margins at 13.4% and healthy free cash flow generation of $1.9B, indicating operational efficiency. However, diluted EPS declined 11.7% YoY despite revenue gains, and low ROE of 6.4% combined with elevated leverage (0.55x debt/equity) and tight liquidity (1.06x current ratio) present concerning capital efficiency and financial flexibility issues.

ChatGPT

Arthur J. Gallagher shows solid fundamental quality through strong free cash flow generation, double-digit net margin, and a balanced leverage profile for a scaled insurance brokerage platform. Financial health appears acceptable with equity support and positive operating cash flow, but modest ROE/ROA and only moderate interest coverage suggest the business is solid rather than exceptional. The core case rests on durable earnings conversion and operating discipline, while future upside depends on improving returns on capital and maintaining cash flow quality.

Why Buy Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Stock? AJG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 20.7% YoY demonstrating market expansion
  • + Healthy operating margin of 13.4% and net margin of 10.7% showing operational profitability
  • + Robust free cash flow generation at $1.9B with FCF margin of 13.4%, providing operational returns
  • + Conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55x compared to sector leverage norms
ChatGPT
  • + Strong cash generation with $1.86B of free cash flow and a 13.4% FCF margin
  • + Healthy profitability profile with 13.4% operating margin and 10.7% net margin
  • + Manageable balance sheet leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.55x and current ratio of 1.06x

AJG Stock Risks: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 11.7% YoY despite strong revenue growth, indicating potential share dilution or margin compression
  • ! Weak ROE of 6.4% suggests poor returns on shareholder capital despite large equity base
  • ! Tight liquidity with current ratio of 1.06x limiting financial flexibility
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.9x is adequate but not robust, limiting debt capacity
  • ! Elevated total liabilities of $47.3B representing 67% of total assets, indicating high financial leverage
ChatGPT
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.9x leaves less room for earnings pressure or higher financing costs
  • ! ROE of 6.4% and ROA of 2.1% indicate only moderate capital efficiency
  • ! Lack of disclosed YoY growth data makes profitability trend quality harder to verify

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Trend in EPS growth relative to revenue growth - reconcile 20.7% revenue growth with -11.7% EPS decline
  • * ROE trajectory - currently weak at 6.4%, monitor if capital allocation improves returns
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and free cash flow margins to assess quality of earnings
  • * Debt service coverage and interest expense trends given $12.9B long-term debt
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and long-term debt trajectory
  • * Free cash flow conversion and return on equity

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$13.9B
Net Income
$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$5.74
Free Cash Flow
$1.9B
Total Assets
$70.7B
Cash Position
$1.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

AJG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 13.4%
Net Margin 10.7%
ROE 6.4%
ROA 2.1%
FCF Margin 13.4%

AJG vs Finance Sector: How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Compares

How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AJG 10.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AJG Sector
ROE
AJG 6.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AJG Sector
Current Ratio
AJG 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AJG Sector
Debt/Equity
AJG 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AJG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Stock Overvalued? AJG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
10.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.55x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Balance Sheet: AJG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.06x
Quick Ratio
1.06x
Debt/Equity
0.55x
Debt/Assets
67.0%
Interest Coverage
2.93x
Long-term Debt
$12.9B

AJG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AJG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $668.8M, EPS $3.52. Year 2022: Revenue $8.6B, Net Income $818.8M, EPS $4.20. Year 2023: Revenue $10.1B, Net Income $906.8M, EPS $4.37. Year 2024: Revenue $11.6B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $5.19. Year 2025: Revenue $13.9B, Net Income $970.0M, EPS $4.42.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s revenue has grown significantly by 70% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.42 reflects profitable operations.

AJG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
13.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AJG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.8B $272.7M $1.04
Q2 2025 $2.8B $283.4M $1.27
Q1 2025 $3.3B $608.4M $2.72
Q3 2024 $2.5B $280.7M $1.28
Q2 2024 $2.4B $234.5M $1.07
Q1 2024 $2.7B $486.5M $2.24
Q3 2023 $2.0B $255.8M $1.19
Q2 2023 $2.0B $234.5M $1.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.9B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$11.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$65.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$667.0M
Returned to shareholders

AJG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (CIK: 0000354190)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AJG

What is the AI rating for AJG?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AJG's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 20.7% YoY demonstrating market expansion. Healthy operating margin of 13.4% and net margin of 10.7% showing operational profitability. ChatGPT: Strong cash generation with $1.86B of free cash flow and a 13.4% FCF margin. Healthy profitability profile with 13.4% operating margin and 10.7% net margin.

What are the risks of investing in AJG?

Claude: Diluted EPS declined 11.7% YoY despite strong revenue growth, indicating potential share dilution or margin compression. Weak ROE of 6.4% suggests poor returns on shareholder capital despite large equity base. ChatGPT: Interest coverage of 2.9x leaves less room for earnings pressure or higher financing costs. ROE of 6.4% and ROA of 2.1% indicate only moderate capital efficiency.

What is AJG's revenue and growth?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported revenue of $13.9B.

Does AJG pay dividends?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. pays dividends, with $667.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AJG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (CIK: 0000354190) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AJG's EPS?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has a diluted EPS of $5.74.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AJG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is AJG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AJG: ROE of 6.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 10.7% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AJG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AJG's free cash flow?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s operating cash flow is $1.9B, with capital expenditures of $65.6M. FCF margin is 13.4%.

How does AJG compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 10.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 6.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.06 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI