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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

AJG NYSE Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service DE CIK: 0000354190
Update Pending • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
A
65% Confidence
AGREEMENT
B
58% Conf
A
72% Conf

📊 AJG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.8B
Net Margin: 17.3%
Free Cash Flow: $891.4M
Current Ratio: 1.06x
Debt/Equity: 0.51x
EPS: $3.16
AI Grade: B with 58% confidence
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) receives a A fundamental grade with 65% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $4.8B, net profit margin of 17.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.5%, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AJG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) a Good Investment?

Claude

AJG demonstrates strong revenue growth (20.7% YoY) and excellent free cash flow generation (18.7% FCF margin), but faces significant margin compression with net income essentially flat despite revenue surge, indicating deteriorating profitability quality. Critically low returns on equity (3.5%) and assets (1.0%) combined with a tight current ratio (1.06x) suggest capital efficiency problems and liquidity pressure that offset the positives.

ChatGPT

Arthur J. Gallagher shows solid fundamental quality through strong free cash flow generation, double-digit net margin, and a balanced leverage profile for a scaled insurance brokerage platform. Financial health appears acceptable with equity support and positive operating cash flow, but modest ROE/ROA and only moderate interest coverage suggest the business is solid rather than exceptional. The core case rests on durable earnings conversion and operating discipline, while future upside depends on improving returns on capital and maintaining cash flow quality.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Key Strengths (AJG)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 20.7% YoY indicating market expansion
  • + Excellent free cash flow generation of $891.4M with 18.7% FCF margin, demonstrating cash conversion strength
  • + Solid operating margin of 21.9% typical of insurance broker business model
  • + Moderate leverage with 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio and adequate 6.6x interest coverage
  • + Low capital intensity ($65.6M CapEx) appropriate for service business
ChatGPT
  • + Strong cash generation with $1.86B of free cash flow and a 13.4% FCF margin
  • + Healthy profitability profile with 13.4% operating margin and 10.7% net margin
  • + Manageable balance sheet leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.55x and current ratio of 1.06x

AJG Stock Risks: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe profit growth collapse: revenue +20.7% but net income -0.6% and EPS -11.7% indicates margin compression and poor acquisition integration
  • ! Returns on capital critically weak with ROE of 3.5% and ROA of 1.0%, suggesting substantial capital inefficiency
  • ! Liquidity pressure with current ratio of 1.06x leaving minimal working capital buffer for operational disruptions
  • ! Low cash position ($1.4B) relative to $78.3B assets and $12.1B debt creates vulnerability
  • ! Divergence between FCF generation and actual profitability suggests quality-of-earnings concerns
ChatGPT
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.9x leaves less room for earnings pressure or higher financing costs
  • ! ROE of 6.4% and ROA of 2.1% indicate only moderate capital efficiency
  • ! Lack of disclosed YoY growth data makes profitability trend quality harder to verify

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net margin trend and EPS growth trajectory to determine if margin compression is reversing
  • * Return on equity and ROA trends to assess capital deployment effectiveness
  • * Current ratio movement and cash position to monitor liquidity adequacy
  • * Organic revenue growth versus acquisition contribution to understand underlying business health
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and long-term debt trajectory
  • * Free cash flow conversion and return on equity

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$4.8B
Net Income
$822.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.16
Free Cash Flow
$891.4M
Total Assets
$78.3B
Cash Position
$1.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

AJG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 21.9%
Net Margin 17.3%
ROE 3.5%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin 18.7%

AJG vs Finance Sector: How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Compares

How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AJG 17.3%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AJG Sector
ROE
AJG 3.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AJG Sector
Current Ratio
AJG 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AJG Sector
Debt/Equity
AJG 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AJG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Stock Overvalued? AJG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
17.3%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.51x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Balance Sheet: AJG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.06x
Quick Ratio
1.06x
Debt/Equity
0.51x
Debt/Assets
69.6%
Interest Coverage
6.60x
Long-term Debt
$12.1B

AJG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AJG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $668.8M, EPS $3.52. Year 2022: Revenue $8.6B, Net Income $818.8M, EPS $4.20. Year 2023: Revenue $10.1B, Net Income $906.8M, EPS $4.37. Year 2024: Revenue $11.6B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $5.19. Year 2025: Revenue $13.9B, Net Income $970.0M, EPS $4.42.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s revenue has grown significantly by 70% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.42 reflects profitable operations.

AJG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
18.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AJG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $3.7B $704.0M $2.72
Q3 2025 $2.8B $272.7M $1.04
Q2 2025 $2.8B $283.4M $1.27
Q1 2025 $3.3B $608.4M $2.72
Q3 2024 $2.5B $280.7M $1.28
Q2 2024 $2.4B $234.5M $1.07
Q1 2024 $2.7B $486.5M $2.24
Q3 2023 $2.0B $255.8M $1.19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$957.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$310.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$65.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$180.0M
Returned to shareholders

AJG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (CIK: 0000354190)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AJG

What is the AI rating for AJG?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a Combined AI Grade of A from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (A) with 65% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AJG's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 20.7% YoY indicating market expansion. Excellent free cash flow generation of $891.4M with 18.7% FCF margin, demonstrating cash conversion strength. ChatGPT: Strong cash generation with $1.86B of free cash flow and a 13.4% FCF margin. Healthy profitability profile with 13.4% operating margin and 10.7% net margin.

What are the risks of investing in AJG?

Claude: Severe profit growth collapse: revenue +20.7% but net income -0.6% and EPS -11.7% indicates margin compression and poor acquisition integration. Returns on capital critically weak with ROE of 3.5% and ROA of 1.0%, suggesting substantial capital inefficiency. ChatGPT: Interest coverage of 2.9x leaves less room for earnings pressure or higher financing costs. ROE of 6.4% and ROA of 2.1% indicate only moderate capital efficiency.

What is AJG's revenue and growth?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported revenue of $4.8B.

Does AJG pay dividends?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. pays dividends, with $180.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AJG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (CIK: 0000354190) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AJG's EPS?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has a diluted EPS of $3.16.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is AJG's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has a A grade with 65% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is AJG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AJG: ROE of 3.5% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 17.3% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is AJG's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. a combined A grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AJG's free cash flow?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s operating cash flow is $957.0M, with capital expenditures of $65.6M. FCF margin is 18.7%.

How does AJG compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 17.3% (avg: 25%), ROE 3.5% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.06 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI