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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AIRO Nasdaq Aircraft DE CIK: 0001927958
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-09-30
Combined AI Rating
SELL
87% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
SELL
82% Conf

📊 AIRO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $42.6M
Net Margin: -9.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-38.5M
Current Ratio: 3.32x
Debt/Equity: 0.01x
EPS: $-0.19
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) receives a SELL rating with 87% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $42.6M, net profit margin of -9.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -0.5%, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete AIRO stock analysis for 2026.

Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) a Good Investment?

Claude

AIRO is a pre-revenue aircraft manufacturer burning significant cash with negative operating cash flow of -$36.5M and free cash flow of -$38.5M, indicating unsustainable operations despite a strong balance sheet. The company exhibits severe profitability challenges with an operating margin of -81.5% and net margin of -9.5%, coupled with deteriorating cash positions that suggest the current funding runway is finite. While stockholders' equity of $739.5M and low leverage provide a buffer, the fundamental business model is not yet viable, making this a highly speculative pre-commercial stage enterprise.

ChatGPT

AIRO shows attractive gross profitability and a very clean balance sheet, with strong liquidity, high cash, and minimal leverage. However, the business is currently failing to convert revenue into sustainable earnings or cash flow, with deeply negative operating margins and severe free cash flow burn, which weakens the quality of any growth story until operating discipline improves.

Why Buy AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Stock? AIRO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet with $739.5M stockholders' equity and minimal debt (0.01x debt/equity ratio)
  • + Substantial cash reserves of $83.5M providing operational runway
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 3.32x current ratio indicating short-term solvency
  • + Gross margin of 58.1% demonstrates product profitability at unit level, suggesting viable core technology
ChatGPT
  • + Strong gross margin of 58.1% suggests favorable product economics before overhead and other operating costs
  • + Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with $83.49M of cash, only $5.13M of long-term debt, and debt/equity of 0.01x
  • + Liquidity is solid, with a 3.32x current ratio and 2.82x quick ratio providing near-term financial flexibility

AIRO Stock Risks: AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe cash burn with -$36.5M operating cash flow and -$38.5M free cash flow, unsustainable at current burn rate with 2-3 years of runway
  • ! Company is pre-commercial with minimal revenue ($42.6M) relative to $774.6M asset base, indicating massive R&D and capex investment with no path to profitability yet visible
  • ! Negative operating income of -$34.7M and negative net income of -$4.1M per period demonstrate inability to generate profits from operations
  • ! Aircraft manufacturing requires significant regulatory approvals and market adoption; high execution risk for pre-revenue stage company
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of -8.9x reflects inability to service debt from earnings, dependent entirely on balance sheet depletion
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating margin of -81.5% indicates the cost structure is far too heavy relative to current revenue scale
  • ! Free cash flow of -$38.53M and FCF margin of -90.4% imply weak growth quality and significant cash consumption
  • ! Negative interest coverage and ongoing losses raise execution risk if profitability does not improve materially

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical to monitor if burn rate accelerates or stabilizes
  • * Revenue growth and gross margin sustainability as production scales
  • * Cash runway and quarterly cash burn rate relative to available liquidity
  • * Operating expense trajectory and path to operating cash flow breakeven
  • * Production and delivery schedules vs. actual execution
  • * Regulatory approval status and customer order backlog
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin trend relative to revenue growth
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash burn trajectory

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$42.6M
Net Income
$-4.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.19
Free Cash Flow
$-38.5M
Total Assets
$774.6M
Cash Position
$83.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.32x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AIRO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 58.1%
Operating Margin -81.5%
Net Margin -9.5%
ROE -0.5%
ROA -0.5%
FCF Margin -90.4%

AIRO vs Automotive Sector: How AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Compares

How AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
AIRO -9.5%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
AIRO Sector
ROE
AIRO -0.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AIRO Sector
Current Ratio
AIRO 3.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AIRO Sector
Debt/Equity
AIRO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
AIRO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? AIRO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-0.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
-9.5%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: AIRO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.32x
Quick Ratio
2.82x
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Debt/Assets
4.5%
Interest Coverage
-8.91x
Long-term Debt
$5.1M

AIRO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AIRO 5-year financial data: Year 2025: Revenue $90.9M, Net Income -$38.7M, EPS $-2.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-2.36 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

AIRO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-90.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AIRO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $6.3M -$4.1M $-0.19
Q2 2025 $9.8M $3.9M $0.20

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$36.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$20.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AIRO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001927958)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04062026_080401.xml View →
Mar 31, 2026 10-K form10-k.htm View →
Mar 31, 2026 8-K form8-k.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03172026_010322.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03172026_010357.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AIRO

What is the AI rating for AIRO?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 87% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AIRO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet with $739.5M stockholders' equity and minimal debt (0.01x debt/equity ratio). Substantial cash reserves of $83.5M providing operational runway. ChatGPT: Strong gross margin of 58.1% suggests favorable product economics before overhead and other operating costs. Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with $83.49M of cash, only $5.13M of long-term debt, and debt/equity of 0.01x.

What are the risks of investing in AIRO?

Claude: Severe cash burn with -$36.5M operating cash flow and -$38.5M free cash flow, unsustainable at current burn rate with 2-3 years of runway. Company is pre-commercial with minimal revenue ($42.6M) relative to $774.6M asset base, indicating massive R&D and capex investment with no path to profitability yet visible. ChatGPT: Operating margin of -81.5% indicates the cost structure is far too heavy relative to current revenue scale. Free cash flow of -$38.53M and FCF margin of -90.4% imply weak growth quality and significant cash consumption.

What is AIRO's revenue and growth?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $42.6M.

Does AIRO pay dividends?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AIRO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001927958) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AIRO's EPS?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.19.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AIRO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. has a SELL rating with 87% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AIRO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AIRO: ROE of -0.5% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of -9.5% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AIRO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AIRO's free cash flow?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-36.5M, with capital expenditures of $2.0M. FCF margin is -90.4%.

How does AIRO compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin -9.5% (avg: 6%), ROE -0.5% (avg: 12%), current ratio 3.32 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-09-30 | Powered by Claude AI