← Back to All US Stocks

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM-PH) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AGM-PH NYSE Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies CIK: 0000845877
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
67% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 AGM-PH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.6B
Net Margin: 12.9%
Free Cash Flow: $80.1M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 17.93x
EPS: $16.62
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM-PH) receives a HOLD rating with 67% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.6B, net profit margin of 12.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.1%, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AGM-PH stock analysis for 2026.

Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM-PH) a Good Investment?

Claude

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp demonstrates solid profitability with 12.9% net margins and 12.1% ROE, but faces material financial stress with dangerously low interest coverage (0.8x) and extreme leverage (17.93x debt-to-equity). The 312.6% revenue surge requires scrutiny regarding sustainability and quality of earnings growth.

ChatGPT

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp shows solid bottom-line profitability with positive net income growth, double-digit ROE, and continued earnings generation. However, the quality of growth looks mixed because revenue surged far faster than earnings, operating cash flow remains modest relative to net income, and the balance sheet is extremely leveraged with weak interest coverage. The fundamentals support stability, but not enough financial strength to justify a more aggressive rating.

Why Buy Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Stock? AGM-PH Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net income growth of 13.7% YoY despite challenging rates environment
  • + Solid operating margin of 15.9% and net margin of 12.1% demonstrates pricing power
  • + Adequate liquidity with $931.1M cash equivalents relative to business operations
  • + Positive free cash flow of $80.1M shows underlying business generates cash
ChatGPT
  • + Net income increased 13.7% year over year while the company maintained positive operating and net margins
  • + ROE of 12.1% indicates the company is generating reasonable returns on its equity base
  • + Positive free cash flow and nearly $931M of cash provide some liquidity support

AGM-PH Stock Risks: Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.8x indicates insufficient operating income to cover interest expense, creating default risk
  • ! Extreme leverage of 17.93x debt-to-equity is structurally inherent to mortgage banking but limits financial flexibility
  • ! Extraordinary 312.6% revenue growth raises sustainability concerns and suggests potential accounting/portfolio shifts rather than organic expansion
  • ! ROA of only 0.6% on $35.4B assets indicates low capital efficiency typical of mortgage lenders but concerning given leverage
  • ! Abnormally high insider activity (28 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may signal uncertainty or compensation-related volatility
ChatGPT
  • ! Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 17.93x materially increases balance-sheet risk
  • ! Interest coverage of 0.8x suggests limited earnings cushion against funding costs
  • ! Revenue growth of 312.6% far outpaced EPS growth of 1.1%, indicating weaker growth quality and possible margin pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend - must improve above 1.2x to signal reduced financial distress
  • * Net interest margin and spread stability - critical for mortgage lender profitability
  • * Loan loss provisions and credit quality metrics - early indicator of portfolio stress
  • * Revenue composition analysis - verify whether 312.6% growth is sustainable or one-time event
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory - assess if leverage is being deleveraged or maintained
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and net interest margin trend
  • * Operating cash flow relative to net income

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM-PH) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.6B
Net Income
$207.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$16.62
Free Cash Flow
$80.1M
Total Assets
$35.4B
Cash Position
$931.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 5.0% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

AGM-PH Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 15.9%
Net Margin 12.9%
ROE 12.1%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin 5.0%

AGM-PH vs Finance Sector: How Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Compares

How Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AGM-PH 12.9%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AGM-PH Sector
ROE
AGM-PH 12.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AGM-PH Sector
Current Ratio
AGM-PH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AGM-PH Sector
Debt/Equity
AGM-PH 17.9x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AGM-PH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Stock Overvalued? AGM-PH Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
12.9%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
17.93x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Balance Sheet: AGM-PH Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
17.93x
Debt/Assets
95.1%
Interest Coverage
0.83x
Long-term Debt
$30.8B

AGM-PH Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AGM-PH 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $15.81 reflects profitable operations.

AGM-PH Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$80.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$12.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AGM-PH SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (CIK: 0000845877)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 DEF 14A agm-20260413.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165630.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165623.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165616.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165610.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AGM-PH

What is the AI rating for AGM-PH?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM-PH) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 67% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AGM-PH's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net income growth of 13.7% YoY despite challenging rates environment. Solid operating margin of 15.9% and net margin of 12.1% demonstrates pricing power. ChatGPT: Net income increased 13.7% year over year while the company maintained positive operating and net margins. ROE of 12.1% indicates the company is generating reasonable returns on its equity base.

What are the risks of investing in AGM-PH?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.8x indicates insufficient operating income to cover interest expense, creating default risk. Extreme leverage of 17.93x debt-to-equity is structurally inherent to mortgage banking but limits financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 17.93x materially increases balance-sheet risk. Interest coverage of 0.8x suggests limited earnings cushion against funding costs.

What is AGM-PH's revenue and growth?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. reported revenue of $1.6B.

Does AGM-PH pay dividends?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AGM-PH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (CIK: 0000845877) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AGM-PH's EPS?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. has a diluted EPS of $16.62.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AGM-PH a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. has a HOLD rating with 67% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AGM-PH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AGM-PH: ROE of 12.1% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 12.9% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy AGM-PH stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AGM-PH's free cash flow?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.'s operating cash flow is $80.1M, with capital expenditures of $0.0. FCF margin is 5.0%.

How does AGM-PH compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 12.9% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.1% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. carrying too much debt?

AGM-PH has a debt-to-equity ratio of 17.93x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Sector: All Finance Stocks →
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI