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Aflac Inc. (AFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AFL NYSE Accident & Health Insurance GA CIK: 0000004977
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $1.81 (vs $1.66 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
75% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
HOLD
78% Conf

📊 AFL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $17.2B
Net Margin: 21.2%
Free Cash Flow: $2.6B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.28x
EPS: $6.82
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Aflac Inc. (AFL) receives a HOLD rating with 75% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $17.2B, net profit margin of 21.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.4%, Aflac Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AFL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Aflac Inc. (AFL) a Good Investment?

Claude

AFLAC exhibits solid financial fundamentals with strong profitability margins (21.2% net, 26.4% operating) and excellent debt management (0.28x debt/equity, 20.9x interest coverage). However, significant headwinds are evident: revenue declined 9.3% YoY and net income fell 33.0% YoY, suggesting operational or market pressures that warrant monitoring before committing to growth.

ChatGPT

Aflac shows solid underlying profitability, with a 26.4% operating margin, 21.2% net margin, strong interest coverage, and low balance-sheet leverage. However, the latest period shows clear deterioration in revenue, net income, and diluted EPS, which weakens growth quality and suggests earnings pressure despite still-healthy fundamentals. The company appears financially sound, but the declining profit trend limits conviction until operating performance stabilizes.

Why Buy Aflac Inc. Stock? AFL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 21.2% net margin and 26.4% operating margin, well above insurance industry averages
  • + Conservative capital structure with low leverage (0.28x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (20.9x), providing financial flexibility
  • + Healthy cash generation with $2.6B operating cash flow and 14.9% FCF margin, supporting dividend and capital allocation capacity
  • + Substantial balance sheet with $116.5B in assets and $6.2B cash position, indicating scale and financial stability
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 26.4% operating margin and 21.2% net margin
  • + Conservative leverage profile with 0.28x debt-to-equity and 20.9x interest coverage
  • + Positive cash generation with $2.56B in operating cash flow and free cash flow

AFL Stock Risks: Aflac Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue contraction of 9.3% YoY signals declining top-line growth, potentially from competitive pressures, policy lapses, or market headwinds
  • ! Net income declined 33.0% YoY despite modest revenue decline, indicating margin compression or non-recurring charges that require investigation
  • ! Modest ROE of 12.4% and ROA of 3.1% suggest capital efficiency below institutional investor expectations for insurance companies
  • ! High insider trading activity (30 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants scrutiny regarding stock price support or insider confidence levels
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue declined 9.3% year over year, pointing to weak top-line momentum
  • ! Net income fell 33.0% and diluted EPS fell 29.2%, indicating earnings pressure
  • ! Return metrics are respectable but not exceptional for an insurer, with ROE of 12.4% and ROA of 3.1%

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and segment performance (Japan vs. US operations) to assess stabilization
  • * Net margin recovery and identification of one-time charges contributing to 33% net income decline
  • * Premium renewal rates and policy retention metrics indicating customer satisfaction and competitive position
  • * Operating cash flow consistency and free cash flow generation relative to dividend obligations
  • * Book value per share growth and return on equity improvement as capital deployment indicators
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and policy-related earned premium trends
  • * Net income, diluted EPS, and operating cash flow consistency

Aflac Inc. (AFL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$17.2B
Net Income
$3.6B
EPS (Diluted)
$6.82
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
Total Assets
$116.5B
Cash Position
$6.2B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

AFL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 26.4%
Net Margin 21.2%
ROE 12.4%
ROA 3.1%
FCF Margin 14.9%

AFL vs Finance Sector: How Aflac Inc. Compares

How Aflac Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AFL 21.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AFL Sector
ROE
AFL 12.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AFL Sector
Current Ratio
AFL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AFL Sector
Debt/Equity
AFL 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AFL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Aflac Inc. Stock Overvalued? AFL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Aflac Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
21.2%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Aflac Inc. Balance Sheet: AFL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Debt/Assets
74.7%
Interest Coverage
20.89x
Long-term Debt
$8.4B

AFL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AFL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $22.3B, Net Income $3.3B, EPS $4.43. Year 2022: Revenue $22.1B, Net Income $4.8B, EPS $6.67. Year 2023: Revenue $21.6B, Net Income $4.2B, EPS $6.25. Year 2024: Revenue $19.1B, Net Income $4.4B, EPS $6.93. Year 2025: Revenue $18.9B, Net Income $4.7B, EPS $7.78.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Aflac Inc.'s revenue has declined by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $7.78 reflects profitable operations.

AFL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
14.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AFL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Aflac Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.9B $29.0M $-0.17
Q2 2025 $4.2B $29.0M $1.11
Q1 2025 $3.4B $29.0M $0.05
Q3 2024 $2.9B -$93.0M $-0.17
Q2 2024 $5.1B $1.2B $2.71
Q1 2024 $4.8B $1.2B $1.94
Q3 2023 $4.7B $1.0B $2.64
Q2 2023 $5.2B $1.0B $2.17

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Aflac Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.5B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$1.2B
Returned to shareholders

AFL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Aflac Inc. (CIK: 0000004977)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611261-4_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611261-3_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611261-2_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611261-1_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611027-2_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AFL

What is the AI rating for AFL?

Aflac Inc. (AFL) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 75% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AFL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 21.2% net margin and 26.4% operating margin, well above insurance industry averages. Conservative capital structure with low leverage (0.28x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (20.9x), providing financial flexibility. ChatGPT: High profitability with 26.4% operating margin and 21.2% net margin. Conservative leverage profile with 0.28x debt-to-equity and 20.9x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in AFL?

Claude: Revenue contraction of 9.3% YoY signals declining top-line growth, potentially from competitive pressures, policy lapses, or market headwinds. Net income declined 33.0% YoY despite modest revenue decline, indicating margin compression or non-recurring charges that require investigation. ChatGPT: Revenue declined 9.3% year over year, pointing to weak top-line momentum. Net income fell 33.0% and diluted EPS fell 29.2%, indicating earnings pressure.

What is AFL's revenue and growth?

Aflac Inc. reported revenue of $17.2B.

Does AFL pay dividends?

Aflac Inc. pays dividends, with $1,198.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AFL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Aflac Inc. (CIK: 0000004977) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AFL's EPS?

Aflac Inc. has a diluted EPS of $6.82.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AFL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Aflac Inc. has a HOLD rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AFL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AFL: ROE of 12.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 21.2% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy AFL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Aflac Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AFL's free cash flow?

Aflac Inc.'s operating cash flow is $2.6B, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 14.9%.

How does AFL compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 21.2% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI