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Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ADPT Nasdaq Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) WA CIK: 0001478320
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
78% Conf

📊 ADPT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $277.0M
Net Margin: -21.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-48.9M
Current Ratio: 3.34x
Debt/Equity: 0.58x
EPS: $-0.39
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $277.0M, net profit margin of -21.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -27.2%, Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete ADPT stock analysis for 2026.

Is Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) a Good Investment?

Claude

Adaptive Biotechnologies demonstrates strong revenue growth of 54.8% YoY, indicating market traction, but this is severely undermined by persistent and worsening losses with negative operating margins of -20.6% and negative free cash flow of -48.9M. The company is burning cash despite growth, raising concerns about long-term sustainability and the quality of that growth without demonstrated path to profitability.

ChatGPT

Adaptive Biotechnologies shows strong top-line momentum, with revenue up 54.8% year over year, and it maintains a solid liquidity position with current and quick ratios above 3x. However, the business remains meaningfully unprofitable, with negative operating margins, negative free cash flow, and weak interest coverage, so the core fundamental story still depends on converting rapid growth into durable earnings and cash generation.

Why Buy Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Stock? ADPT Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 54.8% YoY demonstrates strong market demand and customer acquisition
  • + Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 3.34x and $70.5M in cash provides runway
  • + Manageable leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.58x indicates reasonable balance sheet structure
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is very strong at 54.8% year over year, indicating improving commercial traction
  • + Liquidity is solid, supported by $70.50M of cash and current and quick ratios above 3x
  • + Leverage is manageable relative to equity, with debt-to-equity at 0.58x despite ongoing losses

ADPT Stock Risks: Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Significant and persistent operating losses (-$57.1M) with negative operating margins of -20.6% show inability to achieve profitability at scale
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$48.9M indicates company is burning cash despite revenue growth, with only ~18 months of runway at current burn rate
  • ! Deteriorating cash generation despite growth suggests fundamental unit economics issues; negative interest coverage ratio of -4.8x indicates inability to cover debt service from operations
  • ! High insider trading activity (35 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may indicate uncertainty or liquidity needs among company insiders
ChatGPT
  • ! The company remains unprofitable, with a -20.6% operating margin and -21.5% net margin
  • ! Operating cash flow and free cash flow are still negative, showing the business is not yet self-funding
  • ! Negative interest coverage indicates earnings do not currently support debt servicing comfortably

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Path to profitability timeline and milestones toward positive operating income
  • * Free cash flow trend and monthly cash burn rate relative to cash runway
  • * Gross margin expansion as company scales to demonstrate improving unit economics
  • * Operating margin improvement trajectory and when positive cash flow is expected
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net income trend
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$277.0M
Net Income
$-59.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.39
Free Cash Flow
$-48.9M
Total Assets
$512.7M
Cash Position
$70.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.34x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

ADPT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -20.6%
Net Margin -21.5%
ROE -27.2%
ROA -11.6%
FCF Margin -17.7%

ADPT vs Healthcare Sector: How Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Compares

How Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
ADPT -21.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ADPT Sector
ROE
ADPT -27.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
ADPT Sector
Current Ratio
ADPT 3.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
ADPT Sector
Debt/Equity
ADPT 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
ADPT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Stock Overvalued? ADPT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-27.2%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-21.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.58x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Balance Sheet: ADPT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.34x
Quick Ratio
3.23x
Debt/Equity
0.58x
Debt/Assets
56.1%
Interest Coverage
-4.85x
Long-term Debt
$126.6M

ADPT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ADPT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $154.3M, Net Income -$68.6M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $185.3M, Net Income -$146.2M, EPS $-1.11. Year 2023: Revenue $185.3M, Net Income -$207.3M, EPS $-1.48. Year 2024: Revenue $185.3M, Net Income -$200.2M, EPS $-1.40. Year 2025: Revenue $277.0M, Net Income -$225.3M, EPS $-1.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 79% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.56 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

ADPT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-17.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ADPT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $46.4M $9.5M $0.06
Q2 2025 $43.2M -$25.6M $-0.17
Q1 2025 $41.9M -$29.9M $-0.20
Q3 2024 $37.9M -$32.1M $-0.22
Q2 2024 $43.2M -$46.2M $-0.31
Q1 2024 $37.6M -$47.5M $-0.33
Q3 2023 $37.9M -$45.3M $-0.32
Q2 2023 $43.7M -$47.8M $-0.33

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$46.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$3.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ADPT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (CIK: 0001478320)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ADPT

What is the AI rating for ADPT?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ADPT's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 54.8% YoY demonstrates strong market demand and customer acquisition. Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 3.34x and $70.5M in cash provides runway. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is very strong at 54.8% year over year, indicating improving commercial traction. Liquidity is solid, supported by $70.50M of cash and current and quick ratios above 3x.

What are the risks of investing in ADPT?

Claude: Significant and persistent operating losses (-$57.1M) with negative operating margins of -20.6% show inability to achieve profitability at scale. Negative free cash flow of -$48.9M indicates company is burning cash despite revenue growth, with only ~18 months of runway at current burn rate. ChatGPT: The company remains unprofitable, with a -20.6% operating margin and -21.5% net margin. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are still negative, showing the business is not yet self-funding.

What is ADPT's revenue and growth?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp reported revenue of $277.0M.

Does ADPT pay dividends?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ADPT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (CIK: 0001478320) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ADPT's EPS?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp has a diluted EPS of $-0.39.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ADPT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ADPT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ADPT: ROE of -27.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -21.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ADPT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ADPT's free cash flow?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp's operating cash flow is $-46.0M, with capital expenditures of $3.0M. FCF margin is -17.7%.

How does ADPT compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -21.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -27.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.34 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI